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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - 4/11/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals
Date & Time Thursday April 11, 2019, 1:15 PM (EDT)
Busch Stadium
St. Louis, MO
The Line
St. Louis Cardinals +125 / Los Angeles Dodgers -147
TV Channel
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Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the St. Louis Cardinals meet in the finale of their four game set from Busch Stadium in MLB action on Thursday.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to salvage a win and avoid the sweep after dropping the first three games of the set after a 7-2 loss on Wednesday. Joc Pederson and Max Muncy each had a solo home run to round out the Dodgers’ scoring in the losing effort. Cody Bellinger and Alex Verdugo each added a base hit to round out L.A.’s offense as the Dodgers mustered up just five hits as a team in the losing effort. Kenta Maeda took the loss, falling to 2-1 on the year after allowing five runs on seven hits while striking out six over 5.1 innings of work. Walker Buehler will start the finale and is 1-0 with a 6.75 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. In his career, Buehler is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 18 strikeouts against St. Louis.

The St. Louis Cardinals will look to complete the sweep after taking game three on Wednesday. Yadier Molina had a home run and three RBIs while Marcell Ozuna had a homer, a double and two RBIs as part of his 3 for 4 day at the plate. Paul DeJong had a triple, going 3 for 4 with an RBI while Dexter Fowler had an RBI to round out the Cardinals’ scoring in the winning effort. Paul Goldschmidt and Matt Carpenter each contributed a base hit as well to cap off St. Louis’ scoring in the win. Jack Flaherty got the win to improve to 1-0 after giving up just one run on three hits while striking out eight over six innings of work. Michael Wacha will start game four and is 0-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. In his career, Wacha is 1-4 with a 5.46 ERA and 27 strikeouts against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles is 7-1 in their last 8 Thursday games and 4-0 in Buehler’s last 4 starts while the under is 5-1 in Buehler’s last 6 road starts. St. Louis is 0-4 in Wacha’s last 4 starts and 6-2 in their last 8 games overall while the over is 10-3-1 in their last 14 games against a right-handed starter. Los Angeles is 3-9 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams.

Wacha hasn’t had much luck against the Dodgers in his career, and the Dodgers are probably due for a win, but if we’re being honest, I don’t know why the Dodgers are favored here otherwise. Buehler looked good last time out on the road, but that came against a Rockies team that’s sputtering right now and Buehler was a much different pitcher on the road last season than at home. St. Louis has easily been the better team for the first three games of the set, and Wacha is certainly no slouch, as he’s allowed one run in each of his two starts and should have at least one win if the bullpen didn’t let him down late. That could very well happen again here, but the Cardinals have been playing too well in the first three games of the series to turn down plus money here.

St. Louis Cardinals +125

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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