St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 8/19/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Joe Puetz-USA TODAY Sports
Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals
Monday, August 19, 2019 at 6:45 PM (Busch Stadium )
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers +110 / St. Louis Cardinals -132 -- Over/Under: 9.5
TV: FSMW, FSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals meet Monday in MLB action at Busch Stadium.
The Milwaukee Brewers look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Brewers have scored 24 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in eight of their last 11 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won six of their last eight games when scoring four or more runs. Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 141 hits and 89 RBI while Mike Moustakas and Lorenzo Cain have combined for 232 hits and 111 RBI. Zach Davies gets the ball, and he is 8-5 with a 3.74 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. Davies is 2-2 with a 4.64 ERA and 48 strikeouts in his career against the Cardinals.
The St. Louis Cardinals look to stay hot after winning seven of their last nine games. The Cardinals have scored 19 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last 10 games. The St. Louis Cardinals are 17-0 in the second half of the season when scoring four or more runs. Paul Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals with 119 hits and 68 RBI while Paul DeJong and Kolten Wong have combined for 214 hits and 100 RBI. Dakota Hudson gets the ball, and he is 11-6 with a 3.82 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. Hudson is 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Brewers.
The Brewers are 16-6 in their last 22 Monday games, 6-13 in their last 19 during game 1 of a series and 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games, 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series and 13-3 in Hudsons last 16 starts. The Brewers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. The under is 4-1 in Hudsons last 5 starts overall. The under is 33-15-3 in Davies' last 51 starts overall.
Davies hasn't pitched in a couple weeks due to back spasms, and he's allowed 31 hits and 18 earned runs in his last 31 innings. Hudson has allowed 45 hits and 21 earned runs in his last 40 innings, and he has a 3.60 ERA and .284 allowed batting average at home. I don't really like getting behind pitchers who are coming off injuries, and in 130 at bats against current Cardinals, Davies is allowing a .300 batting average with six homers. Hudson has been hit hard by the Brewers twice this season, but he's been manageable at home and the Cards should have the edge at home in a key series between two teams fighting for the NL Central crown. I'll lean toward the Cardinals here.