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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - 7/24/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Date & Time Wednesday July 24, 2019, 12:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Tropicana Field
Tampa, FL
The Line
Tampa Bay Rays -110 / Boston Red Sox -110
TV Channel
NESN
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Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays meet in the finale of their three game AL East division set in MLB action from Tropicana Field on Wednesday.

The Boston Red Sox will look to complete the sweep after taking the first two games of the series following a 5-4 win in game two on Tuesday. Andrew Benintendi went 2 for 4 with two RBIs while Christian Vazquez added a solo home run and Jackie Bradley Jr. added an RBI as well in the winning effort. J.D. Martinez went 3 for 4 and Rafael Devers had two hits while Mookie Betts and Xander Bogaerts each had a base hit to cap off Boston’s offense in victory. Chris Sale got the win to improve to 5-9 on the year after allowing two runs on four hits while striking out ten over six innings of work. Marcus Walden closed out the game for his 2nd save of the year. David Price will start game three and is 7-3 with a 3.61 ERA and 106 strikeouts this season. In his career, Price is 6-5 with a 3.16 ERA and 118 strikeouts against Tampa Bay.

The Tampa Bay Rays will look to salvage a win and avoid the sweep after dropping game two on Tuesday. Travis D’Arnaud had a home run and two RBIs while Tommy Pham went 2 for 4 with a double and an RBI and Ji-Man Choi added an RBI as well in the loss. Matt Duffy went 2 for 3 with a double to finish off Tampa Bay’s offense as the Rays had just six hits as a team in the losing effort. Yonny Chirinos gave up two runs on six hits while striking out five over 5.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Colin Poche ended up with the loss, falling to 2-4 on the year as a result. Charlie Morton will start game three and is 11-3 with a 2.61 ERA and 152 strikeouts this season. In his career, Morton is 4-1 with a 4.13 ERA and 34 strikeouts against Boston.

Boston is 28-11 in their last 39 road games and 32-14 in Price’s last 46 starts while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games against a winning record. Tampa Bay is 1-6 in their last 7 games overall and 0-4 in their last 4 division games while the over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games against a left-handed starter. Boston is 4-1 in Price’s last 5 starts against Tampa Bay and 4-1 in Price’s last 5 road starts against Tampa Bay.

I can understand Tampa being favored at home with Morton on the bump, as he’s gone 5-1 with a 2.80 ERA at home this season and has had success against Boston in his career, while Price is coming off a road start against the lowly Orioles in which he allowed six runs in just four innings of work. However, Morton just got punched around for five runs in five innings in his last start as well, and Boston has been the better team in the first two games of the series and in the second half of the season. Tampa Bay is watching their playoff hopes fade, and while a quick turnaround usually favors the home team, getting the Red Sox at this price is too good to pass on.

Pick:
Boston Red Sox -110

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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