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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees - 7/4/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays
Date & Time Thursday July 4, 2019, 5:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Tropicana Field
Tampa Bay, Florida
The Line
Tampa Bay Rays +103 / New York Yankees -113 O/U: 9.5
TV Channel
YES, SUN
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Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets and the Tampa Bay Rays will meet up to kick off their MLB series on Thursday.

The Yankees are coming off a two-game set versus their intracity rival the Mets. The Yankees lost 4-2 on Tuesday, then on Wednesday the Yankees took a 5-1 win.

For Thursday’s game, the Yankees will be sending out JA Happ for the start. Over 84.1 innings and a 7-4 mark so far, Happ has a 5.23 ERA with 66 Ks and 19 BBs.

Over on the Rays’ side, they just finished up against the Orioles. Tampa won the first two games of that, each by 6-3 margins. On Wednesday, the Rays lost 9-6.

For Thursday’s matchup, Tampa Bay will send out Yonny Chirinos. In 11 starts this year, Chirinos is 7-4 with a 3.10 ERA and 76 Ks.

The Yankees are 4-1 in their last five Thursday games and 36-15 in their last 51 in game one of a series. New York is 6-1 in Happ’s last seven road starts and 5-1 in his last six starts in game one of a series.

Meanwhile, the Rays are 5-2 in the last seven Thursday games and 1-5 in their last six in game one of a series. The under is 5-2 in Tampa’s last seven Thursday games and 5-2-1 in their last eight in game one of a series.

Happ was cruising along pretty well before his last outing versus the Astros, where he coughed up eight earned, 11 hits and three homers in 4.0 innings of work.

Prior to that however, Happ had had some success on the mound and was 6-0 in an eight-game stretch. The relatively long layoff will be a concern here (Happ hasn’t pitched since June 23), but I think he’ll get it together. I’m going Yankees in this one.

Pick:
New York Yankees -113

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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