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Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees - 7/7/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays
Date & Time Sunday July 7, 2019, 1:10 PM (EDT)
Location
Tropicana Field
Tampa Bay, Florida
The Line
Tampa Bay Rays -115 / New York Yankees +105 O/U: 8.5
TV Channel
YES, TBS, SUN
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The New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays will meet up on the MLB diamond to finish their series on Sunday.

New York took the first two games of this series, each by an 8-4 margin. On Saturday, the Rays got one 4-3 with a walk-off solo homer in the bottom of the ninth.

For Sunday’s game, the Yankees will be sending out James Paxton in the start. Over his 70.1 innings and 5-3 record this year, Paxton has a 4.09 ERA with 84 Ks and 30 BBs.

New York had eight hits on Saturday, but couldn’t get much offensive momentum going. Aaron Hicks was the lead hitter with three knocks, two RBI and a solo homer.

As for the Rays, they’re going with Charlie Morton in the Sunday start. Across 107.0 innings and a 9-2 mark thus far, Morton has a 2.36 ERA with 132 Ks and 35 BBs.

Tampa put up eight hits in the win on Saturday. Travis d’Arnaud was the hero there with three hits, two RBI, two runs and a game-winning homer.

The Yankees are 8-3 in their last 11 Sunday games and 6-0 in Paxton’s last six starts with four days’ rest. New York is 8-3 in Paxton’s last 11 starts and 4-1 in his last five versus a team with a winning record.

Meanwhile, the Rays are 6-1 in their last seven in game four of a series and 21-8 in their last 29 Sunday games. The over is 4-1 in their last five in game four of a series and 3-1-1 in Morton’s last five starts with four days’ rest.

Paxton put up a bloated six earned on eight hits in 4.1 innings against the Blue Jays late last month, but he bounced back in his last outing with one earned in 6.0 innings versus the Mets.

Morton has been really steady lately, with three straight quality starts, and seven of them in his last eight attempts. He’s also 5-2 in that time.

This is a great matchup to finish off the first half of the season, and should be a close one. I like the Morton and the Rays to eke one out, though.

Pick:
Tampa Bay Rays -115

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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