Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros - 4/19/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Houston Astros at Texas Rangers
Friday, April 19, 2019 at 7:05 PM (Globe Life Park)
Houston Astros: -1.5 (-132) / Texas Rangers: 1.5 (+110)
The Houston Astros and the Texas Rangers meet in game one of a three game AL West division set in MLB action from Globe Life Park on Friday night.
The Houston Astros will look to rebound after having their 10-game winning streak snapped with a 2-1 loss to the Oakland A’s in their last outing. Michael Brantley accounted for the lone Houston RBI, while Yuli Gurriel went 2 for 4 and Josh Reddick added a base hit as none of Houston’s four hits as a team went for extra bases in the losing effort. Wade Miley took the loss, falling to 1-2 on the year after allowing both runs on four hits over six innings of work. Justin Verlander will start game one and is 2-0 with a 3.52 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. In his career, Verlander is 13-8 with a 2.98 ERA and 170 strikeouts against Texas.
The Texas Rangers will look to build on their current 4-game winning streak after a 5-4 win over the Angels to sweep the series on Wednesday. Shin-Soo Choo led the Rangers, going 2 for 3 with a triple and two RBIs while Danny Santana had a double and an RBI and Isiah Kiner-Falefa had an RBI as well in the win. Asdrubal Cabrera and Logan Forsythe each had a base knock as well in the victory for the Rangers. Lance Lynn got the win to improve to 2-1 on the year after allowing two runs on seven hits over 5.2 innings of work. Jose Leclerc struck out a pair in the 9th for his 5th save of the season. Drew Smyly will start game one and is 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. In his career, Smyly is 1-2 with a 4.66 ERA and 18 strikeouts against Houston.
Houston is 20-4 in Verlander’s last 24 road starts and 44-19 in their last 63 games overall while the under is 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss. Texas is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall and 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win while the over is 10-3 in their last 13 Friday games. Houston is 18-5 in the last 23 meetings between these two teams in Texas.
The plus money with the Rangers is tempting considering that Texas is coming into this game hot and touched up Justin Verlander for four runs in four innings in his first start against Texas earlier this year, however I find myself hard-pressed to go against the Astros here even on the road. Verlander was solid on the road last season, going 12-2 with a 2.14 ERA away from home, including a 2-0 mark with a 2.25 ERA at Globe Life Park last season. Smyly was decent against Houston in his first start, giving up one run over three innings, but Smyly has given up eight runs in 8.1 innings in two starts since then. I just think Houston’s bats can get to Smyly here and Verlander can limit the damage on his end, so I’ll back Houston on the RL to negate the heavy juice.