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Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros - 4/21/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Houston Astros at Texas Rangers
Date & Time Sunday April 21, 2019, 4:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Globe Life Park
Arlington, Texas
The Line
Texas Rangers +188 / Houston Astros -205 O/U: 10.5
TV Channel
ATSW, FSSW
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Jim Cowsert-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Astros and the Texas Rangers will meet up on the MLB circuit to finish their weekend series on Sunday.

In game one of this set Friday, the Astros banged out a 7-2 victory. In Saturday’s matchup, the Rangers scored five in the first inning and evened things up with a 9-4 win.

For the Sunday game, the Astros will be sending out RHP Collin McHugh for the start. In his 23.0 innings and 3-1 record this year, McHugh has a 1.96 ERA with 27 Ks and seven walks.

In Saturday’s loss, the Astros registered 11 hits but simply couldn’t finish it off (17 LOB on the night). Michael Brantley and Jake Marisnick registered two hits apiece; Marisnick logged a run as well.

Over on the Rangers’ side, they’re going with Shelby Miller in the start Sunday. In his 10.0 innings and 0-1 record so far, Miller has a 9.00 ERA with three Ks and 11 walks.

The Rangers put up 10 hits in their victory Saturday, and Domingo Santana had three of them along with a run and an RBI. Asdrubal Cabrera put up two hits with three RBI and two runs as well.

The Astros are 14-5 in their last 19 in game three of a series and 7-1 in McHugh’s last eight Sunday starts. Houston is 6-1 in McHugh’s last seven stats and 11-5 in his last 16 road starts.

Meanwhile, the Rangers are 14-30 in their last 44 Sunday games and the under is 6-1 in their last seven in game three of a series. The under is 5-1 in Texas’ last six versus a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15.

It’s been a great start for McHugh, as he’s allowed a total of just five earned runs across four starts, and his last three outings have been the quality variety with 6.0 innings of work in each and a total of just nine hits for McHugh during that trio.

As for Miller, he hasn’t put down a good one yet, and hasn’t made it past 4.2 innings in any of his three starts.

I don’t see a whole lot of reasons not to take the Astros here with McHugh on the mound.

Pick:
Houston Astros -205

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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