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Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners - 7/30/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
Date & Time Tuesday July 30, 2019, 8:05 PM (EDT)
Globe Life Park
Arlington, TX
The Line
Over: 11 (-110) / Under: 11 (+100)
TV Channel
FS-Southwest, ROOT-Northwest
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Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers meet in game one of a three game AL West division set in MLB action from Globe Life Park on Tuesday night.

The Seattle Mariners will look to keep the ball rolling after winning five in a row, completing the four game sweep of Detroit with a 3-2 win in the series finale on Sunday. Domingo Santana went 2 for 4 with a solo home run while J.P. Crawford and Kyle Seager each had an RBI with Seager adding a double to the cause. Dylan Moore added a double while Mallex Smith chipped in a base hit as well as the M’s cranked out just six hits as a team in the winning effort. Roenis Elias picked up the win in relief to improve to 4-2 on the year. Mike Leake will start game one and is 9-8 with a 4.25 ERA and 98 strikeouts this season. In his career, Leake is 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 41 strikeouts against Texas.

The Texas Rangers will look to bounce back after a pair of back-to-back losses on the weekend, forcing the Rangers to settle for a series split with a 6-5 loss on Sunday. Nomar Mazara had a home run and two RBIs while going 2 for 4 while Danny Santana had a solo homer and a double going 3 for 4 at the dish. Willie Calhoun and Asdrubal Cabrera each had an RBI with Calhoun adding a double to round out Texas’ scoring as a team in the loss. Delino DeShields had a triple while Shin-Soo Choo added a base hit as well in the losing effort to cap off Texas’ offense. Pedro Payano gave up three runs on six hits while walking and striking out four apiece, not factoring in the decision. Jose Leclerc took the loss, falling to 1-3 on the year with his 3rd blown save of the season. Ariel Jurado will start the opener and is 6-6 with a 4.83 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. This will be Jurado’s second career start against Seattle.

Seattle is 1-8 in Leake’s last 9 road starts and 9-30 in their last 39 road games while the under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games overall. Texas is 2-5 in Jurado’s last 7 starts and 0-4 in their last 4 home games while the under is 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. Seattle is 3-8 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams and 0-4 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams in Texas.

The plus money is tempting given the recent roll that Seattle has been on, combined with the fact that Seattle just took two of three from the Rangers a week ago, including a victory from Leake. However, Leake has allowed 19 runs, 15 earned, in 17 innings across three starts against Texas this season for a 7.94 ERA and has a 5.60 ERA on the road this season with the Mariners losing eight of his last nine road starts. On the other hand, Jurado has a 5.45 ERA at home this season and has allowed 13 runs in 17 innings across his last three starts. I just don’t think that this is a pitching matchup I feel confident betting on, but I do think that both offenses will produce so I’ll side with the over here.

Over: 11 (-110)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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