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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - 4/1/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays
Date & Time Monday April 1, 2019, 7:07 PM (EDT)
Rogers Centre
Toronto, Canada
The Line
Toronto Blue Jays -165 / Baltimore Orioles +155 O/U: 9
TV Channel
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Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays will kick off their MLB series on Monday.

For the Monday start, Baltimore is going with David Hess. In 2018, Hess put up a 3-10 record with a 4.88 ERA over 103.1 innings. This year, he’s clean on 2.0 innings with two Ks and two walks.

This weekend, the Orioles somehow beat the Yankees two out of three games, including Sunday’s 7-5 victory. In that one, Trey Manchini picked up two hits, two runs and an RBI, while Renato Nunez had two hits and two runs as well.

Over on the Blue Jays’ side, they’re sending out Sean Reid-Foley for the Monday start. In his seven innings and 2-4 record last year, Reid-Foley logged a 5.13 ERA with 42 Ks in 33.1 total innings.

The Jays went 2-2 with the Tigers this weekend, and fell 4-3 on Sunday. In that one, Toronto’s Richard Urena seemed to be the only one on his game with three hits and one run. Kevin Pillar added one run and one hit to the cause as well.

The Orioles are 10-41 in their last 51 in game one of a series and 2-14 in Hess’ last 16 starts. Baltimore is 1-11 in Hess’ last 12 road starts and 0-4 in his last four starts on turf.

Meanwhile, the Jays are 4-1 in their last five versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 2-7 in their last nine Monday games. The under is 6-0 in the Jays’ last six Monday games and 34-16-1 in the last 51 meetings between these teams.

Hess looked pretty solid in his two innings versus a good Yankees lineup, so it’ll be interesting to see what he can do versus Toronto right here. I don’t see Hess lasting a long time unless he’s really locked in, though.

We don’t have much to go on with Reid-Foley, but the good news on him is that he finished last year with three earned over 12.1 innings.

This should be a fun matchup, and I like Baltimore enough to go their way as a dog here.

Baltimore Orioles +155

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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