Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - 7/5/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays
Friday, July 5, 2019 at 6:07 PM (Rogers Centre)
Over: 10 (-115) / Under: 10 (-105)
TV: RSN, MASN
The Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays meet in game one of a three game AL East division set in MLB action from Rogers Centre on Friday.
The Baltimore Orioles will look to pick up some momentum after salvaging a win in their series finale against Tampa Bay by a final score of 9-6 last time out. Renato Nunez and Rio Ruiz each had two hits with a home run and three RBIs while Jonathan Villar had a triple and an RBi and Pedro Severino had an RBI of his own as well in the victory. Hanser Alberto went 2 for 5 while Trey Mancini, Chance Sisco, Chris Davis and Anthony Santander each had a base hit to cap off Baltimore’s offense as a team in the win. John Means allowed three runs, two earned, on six hits while striking out five over seven innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Mychal Givens got the win to improve to 1-4 on the year while Shawn Armstrong picked up his 2nd save of the season. Dylan Bundy will start game one and is 3-10 with a 4.91 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bundy is 3-3 with a 3.50 ERA and 48 strikeouts against Toronto.
The Toronto Blue Jays will look to rebound after dropping the rubber match of their series with Boston by a final score of 8-7 on Thursday. Danny Jansen, Rowdy Tellez and Freddy Galvis each had two RBIs with Jansen hitting a pair of solo home runs and a double while Galvis had a homer and a two-bagger of his own. Eric Sogard had a double and an RBI of his own to round out Toronto’s scoring as a team in the loss while Brandon Drury went 2 for 4 with a double. Justin Smoak added a double of his own while Teoscar Hernandez added a base hit as well in the losing effort. Ken Giles ended up with the loss in relief to fall to 1-2 on the year. Aaron Sanchez will start game one and is 3-11 with a 6.31 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sanchez is 6-3 with a 3.90 ERA and 57 strikeouts against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 16-71 in their last 87 road games against a right-handed starter and 5-23 in Bundy’s last 28 division starts while the under is 9-3-1 in Bundy’s last 13 starts overall. Toronto is 1-11 in Sanchez’s last 12 starts and 0-6 in Sanchez’s last 6 home starts while the over is 5-0 in Sanchez’s last 5 division starts. The over is 4-0 in Bundy’s last 4 starts against Toronto.
Sanchez has some pretty good numbers against Baltimore in his career and Toronto has shown some ability to hang around with teams like Boston and New York, so maybe the low line and the Jays at home should be worth a look. However, Sanchez simply can’t catch a break, losing each of his last seven starts, giving up at least four runs in each of his last six and five or more in each of his last five for a total of 37 runs, 36 earned in his last six starts spanning 27 innings for an ERA of 12.00. On the other hand, we simply aren’t getting enough plus money to consider the Orioles who just haven’t been consistent with winning games since the start of the season and who haven’t had any luck with Bundy on the mound against the rest of the division. Instead, I’m going to side with the over, as neither starter appears capable of keeping runs off of the board and both teams have the ability to combine to push this one over the number so I’ll side with the over on Friday.