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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles 8/5/14 MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction

Baltimore Orioles (63-48) at Toronto Blue Jays (60-53)
Date & Time Tuesday August 5, 2014, 7:07 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -127 / Baltimore Orioles +117 --- Over/Under: 9
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MLB | Baltimore Orioles (63-48) at Toronto Blue Jays (60-53)

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles face off on Tuesday for game one of their series on AL East post-season hopefuls.

The Toronto Blue Jays would be a Wildcard team in the AL if the season ended today but they have their sights set much higher. The Blue Jays are 30-23 at home, 6-4 in their last 10 games, and they have lost three games in a row. As a team the Blue Jays are hitting .263 with Melky Cabrera hitting .309, Jose Bautista hitting .293, and Jose Reyes hitting .280. The Toronto pitching staff has an ERA of 4.10 with the starters at 4.00 and the bullpen at 4.31. For game one against the Orioles Toronto starts Mark Buehrle who got a win in his last start to end a long winless streak. For the season Buehrle has allowed 152 hits and 49 earned runs while striking out 82 over 142 innings for an 11-7 record and a 3.11 ERA.

The Baltimore Orioles lead the American League East with 51 games left to play on their schedule. The Orioles are 32-23 on the road, 7-3 in their last 10 games, and they are coming off of a win on Monday. As a team the Orioles are hitting .256 with Nick Markakis hitting .286, Adam Jones hitting .284, and J.J. Hardy hitting .271. The Orioles pitching staff has an ERA of 3.68 with the starters at 3.89 and the bullpen at 3.31. For game one against the Blue Jays Baltimore starts Bud Norris who has lost two of his last three decisions. For the season Norris has allowed 101 hits and 45 earned runs while striking out 80 over 109.2 innings for an 8-7 record and a 3.69 ERA.

Toronto is 5-1 in their last six home games, 9-4 in their last 13 games, and 15-7 in Buehrle’s last 22 starts. Baltimore is 4-1 against the AL East, 4-0 in game one of a series, and 2-5 in Norris’ last seven starts as an underdog. Baltimore is 15-41 in their last 56 games in Toronto.

The Orioles had to travel late on Monday while Toronto had the day off so while I like the O’s here I don’t like them enough to make them a premium pick.

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Baltimore Orioles +117

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