Boston Red Sox (17-4) at Toronto Blue Jays (13-8)
|Date & Time||Tuesday April 24, 2018, 7:07 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays +108 / Boston Red Sox -118 --- Over/Under: 8.5
We have an AL East showdown between the Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday, kicking off their three game MLB set from Rogers Centre.
The Boston Red Sox will look to bounce back from their first series loss of the season, losing the last two games of their series against Oakland, following up being no-hit with a 4-1 loss in the series finale on Sunday. Brock Holt went 1 for 4 with a double and an RBI, while Andrew Benintendi added a two-bagger of his own and Mitch Moreland went 2 for 4 at the dish. Jackie Bradley Jr. and Rafael Devers each added base hits of their own in the losing effort for the BoSox. David Price took the loss, falling to 2-2 this season after giving up all four runs on nine hits while striking out six over 7.2 innings of work. Rick Porcello will start game one and is 4-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. In his career, Porcello is 9-9 with a 4.98 ERA and 88 strikeouts against Toronto.
The Toronto Blue Jays will also be looking to rebound after losing 3 of 4 against the Yankees, including a 5-1 loss in the series finale on Sunday. Teoscar Hernandez scored the only Toronto run, going 2 for 4 with a home run. Justin Smoak added a double and Kevin Pillar each added a base hit of their own to round out the offense for the Jays in the losing effort. Jaime Garcia took the loss, falling to 2-1 this season after giving up four runs on six hits while walking three and striking out six over 5.1 innings of work. J.A. Happ will start the opener and is 3-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. In his career, Happ is 7-3 with a 3.22 ERA and 66 strikeouts against Boston.
Boston is 6-0 in Porcello’s last 6 road starts and 17-4 in their last 21 games overall while the over is 6-1-1 in their last 8 division matchups. Toronto is 4-1 in Happ’s last 5 starts and 7-1 in their last 8 home games while the over is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games overall. Toronto is 5-2 in Happ’s last 7 starts against Boston.
I’ve been going back and forth on this one, as you have Porcello who has started to find his Cy Young form from a couple of years ago and a Boston offense that is due to break out after the weekend they’ve had, going up against Toronto who are a tough out at home and are also due offensively. With that said, Happ is no slouch, giving up just on earned in each of his last three starts against Boston and the Blue Jays have had success with Happ on the mound against the BoSox, winning 5 of the last 7 meetings. Porcello is solid in his own right, but he’s given up 12 earned in 11 innings over his last two starts against the Blue Jays. I’ll take a stab at Toronto and the plus money at home on Tuesday.