Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox - 5/22/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Wednesday, May 22, 2019 at 6:07 PM (Rogers Centre)
Toronto Blue Jays +130 / Boston Red Sox -150
TV: RSN, NESN
The Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays meet in game three of their four game AL East division set from Rogers Centre in MLB action on Wednesday.
The Boston Red Sox will look to bounce back after a 10-3 loss in game two on Tuesday. All of Boston’s damage on the board came via solo homers, as Jackie Bradley Jr., Mitch Moreland and Rafael Devers each hit a solo home run. Andrew Benintendi and Steve Pearce each chipped in base hits as well in the loss for Boston. Eduardo Rodriguez took the loss, falling to 4-3 on the year after allowing six runs on six hits while walking three and striking out five over five innings of work. Rick Porcello will start game three and is 3-4 with a 4.80 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. In his career, Porcello is 10-11 with a 5.55 ERA and 109 strikeouts against Toronto.
The Toronto Blue Jays will look to build on their offensive performance in game two on Tuesday. Rowdy Tellez had a pair of home runs and five RBIs while Brandon Drury had a pair of hits with a double and three RBIs. Randal Grichuk had a solo blast and Danny Jansen added an RBI as well to cap off Toronto’s offense in the victory. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2 for 5 while Freddy Galvis and Jonathan Davis each had base hits as well in the victory. Marcus Stroman got the win to improve to 2-6 on the year after allowing one run on five hits while walking six and striking out four over six innings of work. Aaron Sanchez will start game three and is 3-4 with a 3.88 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sanchez is 4-4 with a 3.91 ERA and 67 strikeouts against Boston.
Boston is 14-5 in their last 19 games overall and 48-18 in their last 66 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 13-4 in their last 17 Wednesday games. Toronto is 6-2 in Sanchez’s last 8 home starts and 1-6 in their last 7 home games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 division games. Toronto is 1-5 in Sanchez’s last 6 starts against Boston.
Boston with a low line is definitely tempting, and Sanchez has been prone to fingernail and blister issues (which pulled him from his last start) so I can understand being weary to back Toronto here. However, Porcello had an ERA over nine against the Blue Jays in four starts last season, and has a history of being beaten up by the Blue Jays over the years. I’ll take a shot with Toronto and the plus money on Wednesday.