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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox - 9/12/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Date & Time Thursday September 12, 2019, 8:07 PM (EDT)
Location
Rogers Centre
Toronto, Canada
The Line
Toronto Blue Jay +125 / Boston Red Sox -145 O/U: 10
TV Channel
NESN
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Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox and the Toronto Blue Jays will match up to finish off their MLB series on Thursday.

The Blue Jays eked out a 4-3 win in the Tuesday opener of this set. On Wednesday, Toronto kept it going, scoring two runs in the fourth inning and six more in the fifth for a big 8-0 shutout victory. The Jays out-hit Boston 11-2 in that one.

In the Thursday game, the Jays will send out Clay Buchholz in the start. Over 42.1 innings and a 1-4 mark this year, Buchholz has a 5.31 ERA with 21 Ks and 11 BBs.

Over on the Red Sox’ side, they’re going with Jhoulys Chacin in the start Thursday. Chacin is 3-10 with a 5.60 ERA and 84 Ks this year.

The Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 Thursday games and 67-26 in their last 93 in game three of a series. The over is 10-3-1 in Boston’s last 14 Thursday games as well.

Meanwhile, the Jays are 17-35 in their last 52 in game three of a series and 9-26 in their last 35 Thursday games. Toronto is 1-5 in Buchholz’s last six starts and the over is 6-2 in their last eight Thursday games.

Since giving up seven earned in 4.0 innings in Texas way back in May, Buchholz has logged a pretty solid run over three August/September starts. In that span he’s given up seven earned in 17.2 innings of work but is just 1-2.

I like Buchholz to come out and pitch well here but I’m still leaning toward the Red Sox.

Pick:
Boston Red Sox -145

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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