Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals - 6/28/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays
Friday, June 28, 2019 at 6:07 PM (Rogers Centre)
Toronto Blue Jays +100 / Kansas City Royals -120
TV: RSN, FS-Kansas City
The Kansas City Royals and the Toronto Blue Jays meet in the opener of a three game weekend set in MLB action from Rogers Centre on Friday.
The Kansas City Royals will look to bounce back after dropping the rubber match of their series with the Cleveland Indians to start the week, losing the series finale by a final score of 5-3 last time out. Lucas Duda had a solo home run while Billy Hamilton had a double and an RBI and Alex Gordon added an RBI of his own to round out KC’s scoring as a team in the losing effort. Humberto Arteaga went 2 for 4 with a double while Cam Gallagher, Cheslor Cuthbert and Whit Merrifield each contributed base hits as well in the defeat. Jakob Junis took the loss, falling to 4-7 on the year after allowing four runs on nine hits while striking out four over six innings of work. Danny Duffy will start game one and is 3-3 with 4.48 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. In his career, Duffy is 2-3 with a 4.86 ERA and 24 strikeouts against Toronto.
The Toronto Blue Jays will look for a bounce back performance after being swept by the New York Yankees, including an 8-7 heartbreaker in the series finale last time out. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. went 3 for 5 with a pair of home runs, a double and four RBIs. Danny Jansen went 3 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs while Cavan Biggio went 3 for 4 to round out Toronto’s scoring as a team in the loss. Randal Grichuk, Rowdy Tellez, Freddy Galvis and Brandon Drury each had base hits to finish off Toronto’s offense as a team in the losing effort. Trent Thornton allowed five runs on seven hits while striking out four over 3.1 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Nick Kingham took the loss, falling to 2-1 on the year. Sean Reid-Foley will start game one and is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Reid-Foley’s second career start against Kansas City.
Kansas City is 4-1 in Duffy’s last 5 starts against a team with a losing record and 19-47 in their last 66 road games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Toronto is 1-11 in their last 12 series opening matchups and 15-38 in their last 53 games overall while the over is 8-2 in their last 10 home games against a left-handed starter. Kansas City is 2-5 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and 16-38 in the last 54 meetings between these two teams in Toronto.
I can understand Toronto being favored at home, and backing Kansas City is always a tricky proposition. However, I’m not keen on backing the Blue Jays, even at home, with a mostly rusty Reid-Foley on the mound. His lone start this season came back in April, and he allowed five runs, three earned, to Baltimore of all teams. Duffy has been up and down in his own right, but he’s one of the Royals’ better starters and the Royals have had more luck stringing wins together lately, so I’ll take a shot with Kansas City to draw first blood on Friday.