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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees - 8/11/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Date & Time Sunday August 11, 2019, 1:07 PM (EDT)
Rogers Centre
Toronto, Ontario
The Line
Over: 10 (-115) / Under: 10 (-105)
TV Channel
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Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays meet in the finale of their four game AL East division set in MLB action from Rogers Centre on Sunday.

The New York Yankees will look to rebound and earn a series split after dropping game three on Saturday by a final score of 5-4. Gio Urshela had a home run and two RBIs while Gary Sanchez added a solo home run and DJ LeMahieu chipped in an RBI as well to cap off New York’s scoring as a team in the loss. Mike Tauchman chipped in a double while Brett Gardner and Aaron Judge each contributed a base knock as the Yanks had just five hits as a team in the losing effort. Adam Ottavino took the loss in relief, falling to 5-4 on the year in the loss. Masahiro Tanaka will start game four and is 7-6 with a 4.93 ERA and 110 strikeouts this season. In his career, Tanaka is 12-5 with a 2.88 ERA and 118 strikeouts against Toronto.

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to ride their recent momentum and win the series after a game three victory on Saturday. Teoscar Hernandez had a home run and three RBIs while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2 for 3 with a triple and two RBIs to finish off Toronto’s offense as a team in the win. Cavan Biggio and Derek Fisher each added a base hit as well as Toronto also had just five hits as a team in the winning effort. Jason Adam picked up the win in relief to improve to 1-0 on the year while Derek Law picked up his 3rd save of the season. Trent Thornton will start game four and is 4-7 with a 5.55 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. In his career, Thornton is 0-0 with a 9.72 ERA and 8 strikeouts against the Yankees.

New York is 9-1 in Tanaka’s last 10 starts and 37-16 in their last 53 games overall while the over is 4-0 in Tanaka’s last 4 road starts. Toronto is 0-5 in Thornton’s last 5 starts against a team with a winning record and 7-19 in their last 26 home games against a team with a right-handed starter while the over is 10-1-1 in Thornton’s last 12 starts against a team with a winning record. New York is 8-2 in Tanaka’s last 10 starts against Toronto.

I’m not laying any juice with Tanaka on the road, even with the Yankee lineup behind him, as Tanaka has a 7.51 ERA on the road this season and has allowed 31 runs across 21.2 innings in his last five road starts. On the other hand, I’m not getting enough plus money to back Toronto with Thornton on the bump as he’s allowed four or more runs in five of his last seven starts and has allowed 9 runs in 8.1 innings against the Yankees this season. I think if there was a game to take the over, it’s this one.

Over: 10 (-115)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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