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Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres - 5/26/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Diego Padres at Toronto Blue Jays
Date & Time Sunday May 26, 2019, 1:07 PM (EDT)
Rogers Centre
Toronto, Canada
The Line
Toronto Blue Jays +110 / San Diego Padres -120 O/U: 10
TV Channel
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The San Diego Padres and the Toronto Blue Jays will finish up their MLB series on Sunday.

In the Friday opener of this set, the Padres managed a 6-3 victory. On Saturday, San Diego’s offense went wild, ripping 20 hits in a 19-4 blowout.

For the Sunday finale, the Padres will be sending out Chris Paddack for the start. In his 51.1 innings and 4-2 record this year, Paddack has a 1.93 ERA with 56 Ks and 11 BBs.

It’s tough to pick an MVP for San Diego’s Saturday game, as pretty much everybody was shredding. The hits leader in that one was Hunter Renfroe, who bagged two homers, four knocks, four runs and three RBI.

Over on the Jays’ side, they’re going with Marcus Stroman in the start Sunday. Across his 64.0 innings and 2-6 record this year, Stroman has a 2.81 ERA with 55 Ks and 25 BBs.

The Jays could only manage four hits in the Saturday game, and no one had multiple knocks. Justin Smoak managed two RBI on his homer in the fourth, but aside from that Toronto just couldn’t get anything going.

The Padres are 2-5 in their last seven Sunday games, and 4-0 in Paddack’s last four starts with five days’ rest. San Diego is 4-1 in Paddack’s last five starts versus a team with a losing record and 4-1 in his last five starts.

Meanwhile, the Jays are 3-7 in their last 10 Sunday games and 0-6 in their last six in game three of a series. Toronto is 1-4 in Stroman’s last five starts and 2-6 in his last eight home starts.

It’s been a pretty smooth ride for Paddack this year, and he’s been able to bounce back after his “blah” starts this season. Case in point, Paddack gave up three earned in 4.2 innings in LA, then posted a quality outing in a win May 20 versus the D-Backs his last time up.

As for Stroman, he’s riding a streak of three straight quality starts and is looking pretty good these days. That said, he does give up walks in bunches (he issued six in 6.0 innings his last time out).

This should be a pretty fun pitching matchup, and it seems like close enough of a coin-flip game for me to consider the home dogs in the Jays. That said, Toronto’s current trends are pretty awful and they haven’t played well with Stroman on the mound lately. I have to go Padres here.

San Diego Padres -120

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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