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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays - 7/26/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays
Date & Time Friday July 26, 2019, 7:07 PM (EDT)
Location
Rogers Centre
Toronto, Ontario
The Line
Over: 9.5 (+100) / Under: 9.5 (-120)
TV Channel
RSN
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Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Toronto Blue Jays meet in game one of a three game AL East division set from Rogers Centre on Friday night.

The Tampa Bay Rays will look to build some steam after avoiding the sweep at the hands of Boston with a 3-2 win in Wednesday’s series finale. Tommy Pham added a solo home run while Joey Wendle and Guillermo Heredia each had a double and an RBI with Wendle going 2 for 3 at the dish in the win. Michael Brosseau added a base hit of his own as the Rays cranked out just five hits as a team in the winning effort. Charlie Morton got the win to improve to 12-3 on the year after allowing two runs on five hits while striking out 11 over seven innings of work. Emilio Pagan closed out the 9th for his 7th save of the season. Diego Castillo will start game one and is 1-6 with a 3.96 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. This will be Castillo’s second career start against Toronto.

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to bounce back after losing their series with Cleveland to start the week, dropping Wednesday’s rubber match by a final score of 4-0. Eric Sogard’s double was the lone hit the Blue Jays would log in the defeat as Toronto was being no-hit by Cleveland starting pitcher Shane Bieber until the 7th inning. The rest of the team went 0 for 23 with 9 strikeouts in the losing effort. Marcus Stroman took the loss, falling to 6-11 on the year despite giving up just one run on five hits while striking out six over seven innings of work. Jacob Waguespack will start game one and is 1-0 with a 5.68 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. This will be Waguespack’s first career start against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay is 2-7 in their last 9 games overall and 1-5 in their last 6 division games while the over is 4-0-2 in their last 6 series opening matchups. Toronto is 1-4 in their last 5 division games and 25-51 in their last 76 games overall while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 home games. Tampa Bay is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams.

Castillo has pitched well in his career against Toronto, going 4-0 with an ERA under two in 10 career appearances, but the issue is that Tampa Bay hasn’t really been playing well enough to warrant being this kind of favorite on the road even against Toronto. On the other hand, I’m not sure what to make of Waguespack in his young career, and the Blue Jays can disappear offensively at any time. Which is why I’m going to side with the under. Neither side has been lighting it up offensively as of late and even with the starting pitching matchup being a huge toss-up, this has the feeling of a 4-3 or 4-2 type of game so I’ll take the under in what I think will be a low-scoring affair.

Pick:
Under: 9.5 (-120)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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