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Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins - 5/25/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
Date & Time Saturday May 25, 2019, 4:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Nationals Park
Washington, DC
The Line
Washington Nationals -215 / Miami Marlins +195 O/U: 8
TV Channel
MASN, FSFL
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Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Marlins and the Washington Nationals will continue their four-game MLB set on Saturday.

In the Friday opener of this set, the Nationals scored six runs in the seventh and eighth innings and held on for a 12-10 victory full of offensive fireworks.

For the Saturday game, the Marlins will be sending out RHP Sandy Alcantara for the start. In his 53.0 innings and 2-4 mark this year, Alcantara has a 4.25 ERA with 36 Ks and 24 BBs.

Miami had some early-inning success in the Friday loss, putting up eight runs in the first five innings and just two in the final four frames. As a team, the Marlins managed 15 hits in that one.

Over on the Nationals’ side, they’re going with Patrick Corbin in the start Saturday. In his 63.2 innings and 4-2 mark this season, Corbin has a 3.25 ERA with 76 Ks and 21 BBs.

Washington had some big hitters in the Friday victory, and needed every one of them. Juan Soto had a nice night with a three-run homer and two runs alongside his three hits.

The Marlins are 7-17 in their last 24 in game two of a series and 2-5 in Alcantara’s last seven road starts. Miami is 2-5 in Alcantara’s last seven starts and 2-6 in his last eight versus the NL East.

Meanwhile, the Nationals are 10-4 in their last 14 Saturday games and 5-2 in Corbin’s last seven starts. Washington is 5-2 in Corbin’s last seven starts on grass and the under is 4-1 in their last five in game two of a series.

Alcantara had a pretty sketchy six-game stretch recently, giving up a total of 23 earned runs across those half-dozen games, but posted a two-hit complete-game shutout his last time up against the Mets.

As for Corbin, he had a streak of three quality starts snapped his last time up—coincidentally against the Mets—with four earned on six hits in 5.0 innings.

Though I think Alcantara will pitch pretty well here, I don’t have enough confidence in the Miami offense to help out. I’m going to take the Nationals; it seems like the safer play.

Pick:
Washington Nationals -215

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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