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Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins - 5/26/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
Date & Time Sunday May 26, 2019, 1:35 PM (EDT)
Nationals Park
Washington, DC
The Line
Washington Nationals -130 / Miami Marlins +120 O/U: 8.5
TV Channel
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The Miami Marlins and the Washington Nationals will continue their weekend MLB set with a game on Sunday.

In the Friday opener of this set, the Nationals secured a high-flying 12-10 win. On Saturday, Washington managed a 5-0 shutout win, scoring all their runs in the fourth inning.

For the Sunday game, the Marlins will be sending out Caleb Smith in the start. Over his 53.0 innings and 3-1 mark this season, Smith has a 2.38 ERA with 71 Ks and 14 BBs.

Miami could only find four hits in their loss on Saturday. Two of them belonged to Harold Ramirez, who finished 2-for-3 and is hitting .353 on the year.

Over on the Nationals’ side, on Sunday they’re going with Erick Fedde on Sunday. Fedde doesn’t have a decision yet, but he’s sporting a 2.87 ERA with eight Ks.

Washington spread out their seven hits pretty well in the Saturday game, and all the real action came in the fourth inning. Catcher Yan Gomes logged a nice double and kicked in three RBI.

The Marlins are 21-43 in their last 64 in game three of a series and 1-5 in their last six Sunday games. Miami is 5-2 in Smith’s last seven starts and 7-3 in his last 10 road starts.

Meanwhile, the Nationals are 2-5 in their last seven in game three of a series and 4-9 in the last 13 versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The over is 4-0-1 in the Nats’ last five in game three of a series and 10-4 in their last 14 Sunday games.

Smith has given the Marlins a nice lift this year when he’s been on the mound, and usually puts the team in a position to win. He hasn’t given up more than two earned in any of his last seven starts.

Smith will probably settle in with a 3-something ERA this season if all goes well—he had a 4.19 ERA over 16 starts last year—but for now it seems like he’s in a nice groove. I like Fedde to pitch well but he probably won’t be in for long. This looks to be a nice spot to take the Marlins.

Miami Marlins +120

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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