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Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins - 7/2/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
Date & Time Tuesday July 2, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Nationals Park
Washington, DC
The Line
Washington Nationals: -1.5 (+101) / Miami Marlins: 1.5 (-115)
TV Channel
FS-Florida, MASN2
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Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Marlins and the Washington Nationals meet in game one of a three game NL East division set in MLB action from Nationals Park on Tuesday night.

The Miami Marlins will look to bounce back after failing to complete the sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies following a 13-6 loss in the series finale on Sunday. Jorge Alfaro had a home run and two RBIs while Brian Anderson and Curtis Granderson each went 2 for 4 with a double and an RBI with Anderson adding a triple as well. Harold Ramirez had an RBI as well while Miguel Rojas and Yadiel Rivera each had a double. JT Riddle and Trevor Richards each contributed a base hit as well to cap off Miami’s offense in the losing effort. Richards took the loss on the mound as well, falling to 3-9 on the year after allowing three runs on six hits over five innings of work. Zac Gallen will start the opener and is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. This will be Gallen’s second career start against Washington.

The Washington Nationals will look to keep their momentum going after winning their series with the Detroit Tigers, taking the rubber match by a final score of 2-1 on Sunday. Anthony Rendon went 2 for 5 with a solo home run and a double while Kurt Suzuki added an RBI of his own as well in the win. Adam Eaton went 2 for 5 while Victor Robles and Trea Turner each had base hits as well in the victory. Max Scherzer got the win to improve to 8-5 on the year after giving up just one run on four hits while striking out 14 over eight innings of work. Sean Doolittle closed out the 9th for his 18th save of the season. Patrick Corbin will start game one and is 7-5 with a 3.71 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. In his career, Corbin is 3-1 with a 3.40 ERA and 46 strikeouts against Miami.

Miami is 22-47 in their last 69 road games and 17-37 in their last 54 division games while the over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games overall. Washington is 4-1 in Corbin’s last 5 home starts and 5-1 in their last 6 games overall while the over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 division games. Miami is 16-36 in the last 52 meetings between these two teams and 17-45 in the last 62 meetings between these two teams in Washington.

Miami has provided some value in the underdog role lately, but the Marlins continue to be a streaky team and are hard to trust in the long term. Washington has been playing some very good baseball of their own as of late, and Corbin has been a much better pitcher at home than on the road, with a 2.17 ERA and a 4-1 record in 7 starts at Nationals Park this season. I just feel more comfortable backing Corbin and Washington in this position than I do Miami, so I’ll back the Nationals to kick off the series with a win here.

Pick:
Washington Nationals: -1.5 (+101)

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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