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Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins - 8/18/18 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Marlins (48-75) at Washington Nationals (61-61)
Date & Time Saturday August 18, 2018, 7:05 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Washington Nationals -220 / Miami Marlins +203 --- Over/Under: 9
TV Channel
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MLB | Miami Marlins (48-75) at Washington Nationals (61-61)
Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

Nationals Park will come alive once again on Saturday, as the Miami Marlins and the Washington Nationals continue their MLB set. 

In the Friday opener, Washington scored in all but three innings as they out-hit Miami 14-9 on the way to an 8-2 win. 

For Saturday’s matchup, the Marlins will be sending out lefty Wei-Yin Chen. Across 94.2 innings and a 4-9 record this year, Chen has a 5.32 ERA with 72 Ks and 38 BBs. 

Tops in hitting for the Marlins this year is Starlin Castro, who came into this set on 132 hits, 66 runs, 10 homers and 44 RBI. On Friday, Castro had one hit. 

As for the Nats, they’re going with LHP Tommy Milone on Saturday. In his 22.1 innings and 1-1 mark this year, Milone has a 5.24 ERA with 20 Ks and one walk. 

Leading the way for the Nationals in hitting this year is Trea Turner, who came into this set on 133 hits, 74 runs, 14 homers and 49 RBI. In the opener, Turner whiffed 0-for-5. 

The Marlins are 4-1 in their last five Saturday games and 1-5 in their last six in game two of a series. Miami is also 2-8 in Chen’s last 10 road starts and 0-4 in his last five starts with five days’ rest. 

Meanwhile, the Nats are 7-2 in Milone’s last nine starts and 6-2 in his last eight starts on grass. The over is 4-1 in Milone’s last five starts overall and 5-2 in his last seven starts versus the NL East. 

If you toss out the five earned he gave up in 5.0 innings in Atlanta, Chen has given up six earned across 23.2 innings since July 13. As for Milone, he’s got one stinker among three other okay starts in his four appearances this year. That said, Milone has given up nine earned over his last 10.1 innings. You wouldn’t be crazy to take the Marlins on a value pick here. The line looks really appealing.

Miami Marlins +203

Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy, college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone. Follow Andrew on Twitter for links to his latest Sports Chat Place picks. 

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