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Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets - 3/28/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Date & Time Thursday March 28, 2019, 1:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Nationals Park
Washington, DC
The Line
Washington Nationals -137 / New York Mets +127 -- O/U: 7
TV Channel
SNY, MASN
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The New York Mets and the Washington Nationals meet in MLB action from Nationals Park on opening day on Thursday.

The New York Mets come into the 2019 season full of optimism after finishing the 2018 regular season with an overall record of 77-85, good for 4th in the NL East and resulting in the parting of ways between New York and then-GM Sandy Alderson. Enter GM Brodie Van Wagenen, who made an instant splash signing the likes of Wilson Ramos from the Rays as a free agent after hitting for a .306 average with 15 home runs and 70 RBIs behind the plate last season. The Mets also traded Jay Bruce to Seattle, bringing in a solid veteran in Robinson Cano and a key bullpen piece in Edwin Diaz who recorded 57 saves for Seattle last season. Only time will tell if New York can return to the playoffs for the first time since 2016. Jacob DeGrom will start game one and was 10-9 with a 1.70 ERA and 269 strikeouts last season. In his career, DeGrom is 7-4 with a 2.65 ERA and 119 strikeouts against Washington.

The Washington Nationals enter the 2019 season having to do something that they haven’t had to do since 2012, and that’s start opening day without Bryce Harper. The Nats finished 2018 with a record of 82-80, finishing 8 games back of the division-winning Braves. The offseason wasn’t terrible for Washington outside of losing Harper, as Washington signed starting pitcher Patrick Corbin to a 6-year, $140 million deal, coming after Corbin finished 2018 with a record of 11-7 with a 3.15 ERA and 246 strikeouts. The Nationals also traded for Yan Gomes to start behind the plate and signed Kurt Suzuki to back him up. Washington also added a veteran presence, signing Brian Dozier, Matt Adams and Anibal Sanchez. The Nationals still boast a strong rotation with Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg along with Corbin and possibly Sanchez along with Jeremy Hellickson. It will no doubt be interesting to see how life without Bryce Harper is going forward. Max Scherzer will start game one and was 18-7 with a 2.53 ERA and 300 strikeouts last season. In his career, Scherzer is 9-4 with a 2.43 ERA and 148 strikeouts against the Mets.

New York is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall and 4-10 in DeGrom’s last 14 division starts while the under is 11-5 in their last 16 games against a right-handed starter. Washington is 23-9 in Scherzer’s last 32 home starts and 4-1 in their last 5 home games while the over is 4-0 in Scherzer’s last 4 starts overall. New York is 6-0 in DeGrom’s last 6 road starts against Washington and 9-3 in DeGrom’s last 12 starts against Washington overall.

It’s always tempting to take the Nationals when you get Scherzer and a cheap price, but I’m expecting there to be a learning curve without Harper in the lineup, even with spring training being played without Harper in the lineup. New York put some work in during the offseason, and I’m intrigued to see the impact that the new acquisitions have in game one. The Mets have also owned the Nats with DeGrom on the mound at Nationals Park so I’ll take a shot with New York and the plus money on opening day.

Pick:
New York Mets +127

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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