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Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 4/2/19 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals
Date & Time Tuesday April 2, 2019, 7:05 PM (EDT)
Location
Nationals Park
Washington, DC
The Line
Washington Nationals -200 / Philadelphia Phillies +170
TV Channel
MASN2
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Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals meet in game one of a mini two game NL East division set in MLB action from Nationals Park on Tuesday.

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to stay unbeaten after sweeping the Atlanta Braves over opening weekend, including a 5-1 win on Sunday Night Baseball in their last outing. Andrew McCutchen and Bryce Harper each hit solo home runs, with Harper going 2 for 3 with a double as well, while Rhys Hoskins, J.T. Realmuto and Maikel Franco each added an RBI to round out Philly’s offense in the win as the Phils put up just five hits as a team in the victory. Jake Arrieta got the win to improve to 1-0 after allowing the lone run on three hits while walking and striking out six apiece over six innings of work. Zach Eflin will start game one and was 11-8 with a 4.36 ERA and 123 strikeouts last season. In his career, Eflin is 1-1 with a 5.93 ERA and 12 strikeouts against Washington.

The Washington Nationals will be looking to build on their first win of the season coming in the form of a 6-5 win over the New York Mets in their series finale on Sunday. Trea Turner led the Nats by going 2 for 5 with a pair of home runs and four RBIs, while Victor Robles and Anthony Rendon each had an RBI with Robles going 2 for 4 with a pair of double. Adam Eaton went 3 for 5 at the dish and Yan Gomes added a double while Ryan Zimmerman contributed a base hit as well in the winning effort. Patrick Corbin went six innings, allowing two runs on seven hits while striking out four, not factoring in the decision. Sean Doolittle picked up his 1st blown save of the year but also notched his 1st victory after tossing 1.2 innings of relief. Max Scherzer will start game one and is 0-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. In his career, Scherzer is 9-2 with a 2.64 ERA and 138 strikeouts against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia is 2-5 in Eflin’s last 7 starts and 5-0 in their last 5 games overall while the over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games. Washington is 23-10 in Scherzer’s last 33 home starts and 5-2 in their last 7 games against a right-handed starter while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 division games. Washington is 13-2 in Scherzers last 15 starts against Philadelphia and 4-1 in Scherzer’s last 5 home starts against the Phillies.

I can understand Washington being favored here as Scherzer always should be whenever he takes the mound, and this should be a hostile environment for the Phillies in Bryce Harper’s first game back at Nationals Park. However, while Scherzer has owned Philly in his career, we saw the Nationals struggle to get their ace run support, and last time I checked, it’s pretty hard to win baseball games when you can’t put runs on the board. I expect Scherzer to pitch well again and throw another gem, but I also expect the Phillies to do enough to eke out a win here for their new teammate in Harper, so given how well the Phillies have played to start the year, I’ll take a stab at Philadelphia and the plus money here.

Pick:
Philadelphia Phillies +170

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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