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Andre Fili vs. Myles Jury - 2/17/19 UFC on ESPN 1 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Andre Fili vs. Myles Jury
Date & Time Sunday February 17, 2019, 9:00 PM (EST)
Talking Stick Resort Arena
Phoenix, Arizona
The Line
The Line: Fili +133 / Jury -147 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
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Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports

Andre Fili and Myles Jury fight Sunday during UFC on ESPN 1 at the Talking Stick Resort Arena.

Andre Fili enters this fight with a 18-6 record and has won 44 percent of his fights by knockout. Fili has split his last 10 fights and is coming off an August loss to Michael Johnson. Fili is averaging 3.72 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 36 percent. Fili is averaging 2.8 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 46 percent. Fili is somebody who hasn’t been able to put together consistent success to really take his career to the next level, but he’s never lost back-to-back fights, so that’s good news for him entering this bout. Fili is a wild athlete who is always throwing strikes and mixes in leg kicks well. Fili will also go for his takedowns when the opportunity opens up, and he’s well conditioned with each of his last five fights ending in decisions. Fili has finished just one fight in the last five years, but he has enough power in his small frame to produce a knockout. The key to Fili fights is he’s rarely outworked in the octagon, so he has to like his chances if a bout goes to the judges. Unfortunately, Fili can be a little too wild at times and it opens himself up to dangerous counters. This will be Fili’s first career fight in Arizona.

Myles Jury enters this fight with a 17-3 record and has won 53 percent of his fights by knockout. Jury has split his last six fights and is coming off a July loss to Chad Mendes. Jury is averaging 2.61 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 40 percent. Jury is averaging 2.5 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 55 percent. Jury is coming off his first career knockout loss and has had a lot of time to gameplay a bounce back performance to kind of snap out of this current funk. Jury has an improved stand up striking attack, where he relies a lot on counters and using his strikes to open up takedowns. Jury is a grappler at heart where he can gain position on the canvas and eventually unleash a vicious ground and pound, which which has produced most of his knockouts. Jury can improve in a lot of areas, but he has a high finish rate if he gains top position or if he simply knocks his opponent off balance. This will be Jury’s first career fight in Arizona, the state he’s fighting out of.

Jury is the safe bet in the fight considering he’s better defensively and can take advantage of Fili’s aggressiveness with his counters. However, Fili is more comfortable with his stand up striking and throws these wild leg kicks that can make a world of difference. Fili also has an underrated takedown defense and is conditioned well enough to go the distance with a quality grappler. You also have to factor in that Fili has never lost back-to-back fights in his career, which is a sign of him correcting his mistakes.

All said and done, Fili is probably the better fighter between the two. I’m just not all that high on Jury and his overall ability. I’ll take Fili and the plus money.

Andre Fili +133

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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