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Charles Oliveira vs. David Teymur - 2/2/19 UFC Fight Night 144 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Charles Oliveira vs. David Teymur
Date & Time Saturday February 2, 2019, 9:00 PM (EST)
Location
Centro de Formação Olímpica do Nordeste
Fortaleza, Brazil
The Line
The Line: Oliveira -102 / Teymur -112 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN+
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Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports

Charles Oliveira and David Teymur fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 144 at the Centro de Formação Olímpica do Nordeste.

Charles Oliveira enters this fight with a 24-8 record and is winning 68 percent of his fights by submission. Oliveira has won four of his last five fights and is coming off a December victory over Jim Miller. Oliveira is averaging 3.01 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 49 percent. Oliveira is averaging 2.95 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 42 percent. Oliveira has won each of his last three fights and has earned performance of the night honors in all three bouts. Oliveira has produced submissions in each of his last six wins and is averaging nearly three takedowns per 15 minutes on the UFC level. As a natural grappler, it’s clear what Oliveira wants to do in the octagon, but he’s also an accurate striker and has an underrated ground and pound. Overall, if Oliveira gets his opponent on the canvas, you have to love his chances of pulling out the victory, regardless of who he’s fighting. This will be Oliveira’s 15th career fight in Brazil, his birthplace.

David Teymur enters this fight with a 8-1 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by knockout. Teymur has won his last eight fights and is coming off a June win over Nik Lentz. Teymur is averaging 4.72 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42 percent. Teymur is averaging 1.04 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 33 percent. Teymur is now 5-0 under the UFC banner and hasn’t lost since his pro debut back in 2013 against Mattias Rosenlind. Teymur has a deep background in kickboxing and Muay Thai, so majority of his strikes are at the head or legs, and he’s landed 90 percent of his strikes standing up. Teymur has never had a fight finish on the canvas, and he’s a well conditioned fighter who has shown improvement in his ground game since coming over to the UFC level. This will be Teymur’s first career fight in Brazil.

You could make a case for either of these guys, especially Teymur who hasn’t lost since his pro debut and seems to be getting better every time he steps in the octagon. However, Oliveira is 14-0 when fighting in his home of Brazil and has a clear advantage if this fight goes to the canvas, and considering he’s a takedown machine, it’s only a matter of time before it does. We have yet to see Teymur in the octagon with somebody with the grappling and submission skills like Oliveira.

I’ll take the Brazilian at the better price.

Pick:
Charles Oliveira

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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