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Cody Garbrandt vs. Pedro Munhoz - 3/2/19 UFC 235 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Cody Garbrandt vs. Pedro Munhoz
Date & Time Saturday March 2, 2019, 10:00 PM (EST)
Location
T-Mobile Arena
Paradise, Nevada
The Line
The Line: Garbrandt -167 / Munhoz +153 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
PPV
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Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Cody Garbrandt and Pedro Munhoz fight Saturday in UFC 235 at the T-Mobile Arena.

Cody Garbrandt enters this fight with a 11-2 record and has won 82 percent of his fights by knockout. Garbrandt has split his last four fights and is coming off a August loss to T.J. Dillashaw. Garbrandt is averaging 3.48 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 37 percent. Garbrandt is averaging one takedown with an accuracy percentage of 33 percent. Garbrandt is coming off back-to-back knockout losses to Dillashaw, both for the UFC Bantamweight Championship, so he should be rather motivated to get this nasty taste out of his mouth. Garbrandt is primarily a striker who comes from a boxing background and lands 90 percent of his strikes standing up. Garbrandt has some of the best power in the Bantamweight division and knows how to finish a fight once he has his opponent on the ropes. Garbrandt is also a well conditioned fighter for his style, as he has the knockout percentage he does but is average a 9:20 fight time. And while some may question his chin after his last two bouts, Garbrandt is an above-average defender and has impressive head movement that shouldn’t go unnoticed. This will be Garbrandt’s sixth career fight in Las Vegas.

Pedro Munhoz enters this fight with a 17-3 record and has won 53 percent of his fights by submission. Munhoz has won six of his last seven fights and is coming off a November win over Bryan Caraway. Munhoz is averaging 5.02 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 43 percent. Munhoz is averaging 1.11 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 22 percent. Munhoz has put together a nice winning stretch and is coming off an impressive knockout victory with a kick to the stomach area that dropped Caraway quickly. Munhoz is an aggressive volume striker who lands 84 percent of his strikes standing up, and he uses a lot of his strikes to set up his takedowns. Munhoz controls the octagon very well with his movement and doesn’t need much to find a submission hold. Munhoz is incredibly sneaky with his submission attempts and usually has it locked in for good the first time. Munhoz loves the guillotine choke, as its produced six of his victories and it’s the one thing that makes him very dangerous as a standup fighter in the clinch. This will be Munhoz’s sixth career fight in Las Vegas.

This is an interesting fight, as you have to question if Garbrandt is going to be the same after getting knocked out twice with his belt on the line. Is his confidence shaken? Can he return to being the cocky, swagger guy who lands haymakers, or is he going to be a little more cautious and change his approach? Munhoz is no pushover and can get this fight where he wants it by using Garbrandt’s aggressiveness against him. However, if this is a stand up fight, which is usually is with Garbrandt, Munhoz stands little to no chance. He doesn’t have the hand speed, accuracy or power to respond to the quickness and pure boxing skills of his opponent.

Garbrandt wins this fight comfortably, getting back in the win column after two frustrating losses.

Pick:
Cody Garbrandt

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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