Cris Cyborg vs. Felicia Spencer - 7/27/19 UFC 240 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cris Cyborg vs. Felicia Spencer
Saturday, July 27, 2019 at 10:30 PM (Rogers Centre )
The Line: Cyborg -582 / Spencer +453 -- Over/Under:
Cris Cyborg and Felicia Spencer fight Saturday during UFC 240 at the Rogers Place.
Cris Cyborg enters this fight with a 20-2 record and has won 85 percent of her fights by knockout. Cyborg has won 20 of her last 21 fights and is coming off a December loss to Amanda Nunes. Cyborg is averaging 6.76 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 57 percent. Cyborg is averaging 0.90 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 60 percent. Cyborg watched her 20-fight winning streak come to an end, as she ate four clean hooks and dropped to the canvas. It was Cyborg’s first loss since her pro debut in 2005 and shocked many in the MMA community considering she lost the way she’s used to beating the snot out of her opponents. It’s going to be interesting to see how Cyborg bounces back from such a loss. There’s never any surprises with Cyborg, as she’s a power striker with relentless aggression, ridiculous pop and a proven chin that allows her to stand in there and trade blows. It’s not a question of if Cyborg lands those power strikes, it’s when, and there’s not many female fighters who can take such punishment. Cyborg lands her strikes standing up, in the clinch and on the ground, and she forces her opponent to fight her fight with a superb takedown defense. However, there’s now more questions with Cyborg than before, as her last bout does expose some chinks in the armor, and her conditioning has always been a question mark as well. This will be Cyborg’s first career fight in Canada.
Felicia Spencer enters this fight with a 7-0 record and has won 57 percent of her fights by submission. This will be Spencer’s fifth fight since 2018, and she’s coming off a May win over Megan Anderson. Spencer is averaging 6.47 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 71 percent. Spencer is averaging one takedown with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Spencer was impressive in her UFC debut, landing 25 strikes and producing a first round submission victory via a rear-naked choke. It’s the third straight fight Spencer has ended that way. Spencer turned a lot of heads with such a dominating performance, especially with her entering the octagon as a +185 underdog. Spencer isn’t the most polished standup striker in the world, but she can do just enough until getting in the clinch and forcing this fight to the canvas. A black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, Spencer is at her best on the ground where she dominates with her wrestling and can quickly find a submission hold. Spencer has also shown some underrated ground and pound through seven career fights, and she also has a black belt in Taekwondo, so opponents must be on high alert for a head kick that are always in danger of knocking the lights out. This will be Spencer’s first career fight outside of the United States, and it’s in Canada, her with country.
Cyborg should be the favorite given the wide experience gap and the serious power advantage. As long as Cyborg keeps this fight on her feet, she’s going to win rather convincingly and probably finish it at some point. Spencer can’t trade with her at all. This is also the last fight on Cyborg’s UFC contract, and while there are rumors of a rematch with Amanda Nunes floating around, she certainly wants to put on a show to secure interest for more paydays. With that said, Spencer is a live dog in this fight due to her wrestling and grappling skills. While Cyborg is decent at scrambling and staying on her feet, Spencer can shock the world if she’s able to drag the Brazilian into deep waters and get this thing to the canvas. In fact, Spencer wins this fight if she’s able to produce a takedown with reasonable time to work a submission hold. There’s also questions about how Cyborg responds to being knocked out in her last fight, as there’s history of fighters not exactly being the same after such a finish.
If you’re looking for a big underdog with a chance of cashing, Spencer in an upset isn’t a bad bet.