Dwight Grant vs. Alan Jouban - 4/13/19 UFC 236 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Dwight Grant vs. Alan Jouban
Tuesday, April 2, 2019 at 9:30 PM (State Farm Arena)
The Line: Grant +103 / Jouban -117 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
Alan Jouban and Dwight Grant fight Saturday during UFC 236 at the State Farm Arena.
Alan Jouban enters this fight with a 16-6 record and has won 69 percent of his fights by knockout. Jouban has won four of his last six fights and is coming off a February (2018) win over Ben Saunders. Jouban is averaging 5.41 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 53 percent. Jouban is averaging 0.52 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Jouban hasn’t been in the octagon in over a year after his fight with Danny Roberts was cancelled due to a neck injury. Jouban is coming off a clean knockout victory that earned him fight of the night honors, as he landed a left hand that ended things in the second round. Jouban has produced knockouts in eight of his last 12 fights and has shown numerous times that he has legit KO potential in his hands. Jouban is primarily a standup striker where he lands 78 percent of his strikes, and he swings with violence and uses his leg kicks well. Jouban doesn’t have the wrestling ability or the takedown defense to take his game to the next level, but he’s an entertaining fighter who has to love his chances against anybody if he gets to fight on his feet. This will be Jouban’s first career fight in Georgia.
Dwight Grant enters this fight with a 9-2 record and has won 78 percent of his fights by knockout. Grant has won eight of his last nine fights and is coming off a February win over Carlo Pedersoli Jr. Grant is averaging 2.25 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 33 percent. Grant is averaging 0.75 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 100 percent. Grant is coming off an impressive knockout victory just before the first round finished, as he landed a violent right hand that knocked his opponents mouthpiece out. Grant has shown to be primarily a striker who relies on violent hooks and combinations in hopes of landing that one punch. Grant has a slow windup and can be very predictable, but he has devastating power and has dropped nearly all of his opponents when he lands one clean shot. The problem that I have with Grant is that he throws the same punch far too often and leaves himself very open to counters. His windup is so big and slow, Grant leaves himself exposed and it could end badly at some point. Grant hasn’t had to deal with that question mark yet, but I’m sure I’m not the only one who sees an opportunity to take advantage of an opening defensively. This will be Grant’s first career fight in Georgia.
This is going to be a fun fight between two aggressive, powerful strikers and there’s a case to be made for both sides. Grant is the much longer fighter and has ridiculous pop in his hands, but I’m concerned about his slow windup and the holes that leaves in his defense. Jouban has to see that on film and should be waiting to land a counter. Jouban is also probably the more polished fighter between the two, as he’s better with his legs and knees, and he’s effective in the clinch as well. As for who wins, I’d give Jouban the edge, but the best bet in this fight would be to predict that it doesn’t go the full three rounds. There’s too much power and offense for this to end in a decision.