Geoff Neal vs. Niko Price - 7/27/19 UFC 240 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Geoff Neal vs. Niko Price
Saturday, July 27, 2019 at 10:00 PM (Rogers Centre )
The Line: Price +246 / Neal -274 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
Geoff Neal and Niko Price fight Saturday during UFC 240 at the Rogers Place.
Geoff Neal enters this fight with a 11-2 record and has won 55 percent of his fights by knockout. Neal has won each of his last five fights and is coming off a January win over Belal Muhammad. Neal is averaging 5.95 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 45 percent. Neal is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Neal is now 3-0 under the UFC banner and is coming off his first decision victory in five years. At just 28 years old and with this stretch he’s been on, Neal has a chance to crack the rankings with a victory here and start earning some respect in the welterweight division. Neal is primarily a standup striker with powerful hands and has been a knockout artist since his amateur days. Neal puts together combinations nice and clean, and he also has a kicking ability that put Frank Camacho to sleep in devastating fashion. Neal has also defended takedowns at a very high level up to this point, so he’s forcing guys to fight his fight, and he’s going to be very comfortable as long as he can stay on his feet. This will be Neal’s first career fight outside of the United States.
Niko Price enters this fight with a 13-2 record and has won 69 percent of his fights by knockout. Price has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a March win over Tim Means. Price is averaging 2.93 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 33 percent. Price is coming off a performance of the night where he was eating powerful shots from his opponent and eventually landed a clean right hand. Price was the first fighter to beat Means via knockout, and it was more impressive given how the fight was going up to that point. Price showed his toughness in that fight and his confidence has to be quite high at the moment. Price has a background in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, and he’s effective with his strikes standing up, in the clinch and on the ground. Price isn’t the most effective striker in terms of accuracy, but he’s got some pop when he does land and has this wild, aggressive style that can really overwhelm his opponent. Price isn’t the most technically sound or most disciplined fighter in the world, but his career has shown he only needs to land that one strike to put himself in a winning position. This will be Price’s third career fight outside of the United States.
Neal should be favored to win this fight and is one of those fighters who could become a champion in the near future. With that said, this price isn’t showing much respect to Price, who is not only the slightly bigger fighter in this bout, but has shown he can take a beating and keep coming forward. Price also has power and work rate to go toe-to-toe with Neal, and I’d also give him the edge if this thing somehow went to the canvas given his BJJ background. The bottom line is this bout will have a lot of violence and the margin of error will be slim for both guys.
I’ll take a shot with Price and the plus money.