Glover Teixeira vs. Nikita Krylov - 9/14/19 UFC Fight Night 158 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Glover Teixeira vs. Nikita Krylov - 9/14/19 UFC Fight Night 158 Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

Glover Teixeira vs. Nikita Krylov

Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 10:30 PM (Rogers Arena)

The Line: -- Over/Under:

TV: ESPN+

Glover Teixeira and Nikita Krylov fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 158 at the Rogers Arena.

Glover Teixeira enters this fight with a 29-7 record and has won 59 percent of his fights by knockout. Teixeira has won seven of his last 10 fights and is coming off an April win over Ion Cutelaba. Teixeira is averaging 3.46 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 44 percent. Teixeira is averaging 2.09 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 40 percent. Teixeira is coming off a second round submission victory that earned him performance of the night honors. It was Teixeira’s second straight submission win, and his third straight finish in his last three victories overall. Teixeira now looks to win three straight fights for the first time since 2015-16. Teixeira has proven his versatility over his career, as he lands accurate and powerful punches that allow him to fight standing up, mixes in leg kicks well, and he's a successful takedown artist with eight submission victories under his belt. With a deep background in Kajukenbo, there’s nothing Teixeira can’t do in the octagon and he’s far from your typical heavyweight who just throws haymakers and hopes to knock the lights out. This will be Teixeira’s second career fight in Canada.

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Nikita Krylov enters this fight with a 25-6 record and has won 60 percent of his fights by submission. Krylov has won 10 of his last 12 fights and is coming off an April win over Ovince Saint Preux. Krylov is averaging 5.32 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 59 percent. Krylov is averaging 0.80 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 33 percent. Krylov is coming off a second round submission victory of his own, keeping his streak intact of all 25 of his wins being finishes. Krylov is a tough Ukraine fighter with a proven chin and a powerful standup striking game where he mixes in his leg kicks and knees well. Krylov is just as effective in the clinch and also has a strong ground and pound where he’s landed 17 percent of his strikes. While his striking can’t be ignored, Krylov is a proven wrestler with 15 submission victories and is extremely dangerous once he gets his opponents back, as now six of his wins have finished via the rear-naked choke. Krylov has won five of his seven career fights that have made it past the first round. This will be Krylov’s third career fight in Canada.

Both of these fighters can handle their own wherever the fight goes, but you’d probably give Krylov the edge standing up due to his power and reach advantage in this bout, while Teixeira gets the edge on the ground due to his deep background in submission wrestling. You can make a case for either guy and it wouldn’t be shocking at all if Krylov lands one viscous strike and ends things early. However, I see Teixeira playing the long game and dragging the 27-year-old through deep waters and looking for that one mistake on the canvas. With more experience and a more polished wrestling background overall, Teixeira should be able to win this fight.

Fun fight between two balanced heavyweights, but give me the Brazilian to have his hand raised.

Randy’s Pick Glover Teixeira

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.