Greg Hardy vs. Allen Crowder - 1/19/19 UFC Fight Night 143 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Greg Hardy vs. Allen Crowder
Saturday, January 19, 2019 at 11:00 PM (Barclays Center)
The Line: Crowder +435 / Hardy -513 -- Over/Under: 1.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Greg Hardy and Allen Crowder fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 143 at the Barclays Center.
Greg Hardy enters this fight with a 3-0 record and has won 100 percent of his fights by knockout. Hardy won all three of his professional fights last year and is coming off a September win over Rasheem Jones. Hardy will make his UFC debut with this fight after fighting twice in the contender series and once at Xtreme Fight Night 352. Hardy is obviously a former NFL Pro Bowl defensive end who had 40 sacks in six seasons, but he had trouble staying on the field due to off the field issues, which included assaulting his ex-girlfriend. With less than three full minutes of fights, it’s hard to judge just how good Hardy can be in the octagon, but he’s massive at 6’4”, 265 pounds, and he’s been able to generate all of that into a powerful striking game. Hardy swings for the fences often and appears to be one go those guys who won’t need to land cleanly to drop his opponent. While there’s a ton of things to improve for a guy who picked up the sport a couple of years ago, the two main things that are concerning right now is his conditioning and his ground game. Hardy has yet to be tested on the canvas and hasn’t had a long fight to test his stamina. Remember, Hardy comes from a sport where plays are only a few seconds and there’s a break in-between. Still, from a raw striking standpoint, you have to be impressed from what you’ve seen from Hardy. This will be Hardy’s first career fight in New York.
Allen Crowder enters this fight with a 9-3 record and has won 56 percent of his fights by knockout. Crowder has won four of his last five fights and is coming off a December (2017) loss to Justin Willis. Crowder is averaging 5.88 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 39 percent. Crowder is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Crowder lost his UFC debut in which he landed 15 of 38 strikes and was knocked out in the first round. Crowder showed some decent shots to the head and was able to mix in a few leg kicks, but overall there was a lot to question, especially on the defensive side. Crowder isn’t the best when it comes to dodging punches, and he gets tired awfully quick, something we saw in his victory over Don'Tale Mayes. There’s also concerns with Crowder when you consider he’s been out of the octagon for over a year. A fighter who is still trying to carve out a career at this point and earn his stripes makes it awfully difficult when he’s not fighting. Crowder has to take advantage of the opportunity in this bout, as who knows if this chance will come again. This will be Crowder’s first career fight in New York.
Honestly, these odds are quite insane when you consider Hardy is still extremely green and is fighting someone with 12 fights under his belt. Yes, Crowder hasn’t been the most impressive fighter in the world, has been out of the octagon for over a year and is giving up a lot of size, but he’s still the more experienced and has shown some sort of ground game up to this point. Hardy is still learning on the fly and this will easily be his toughest bout yet. I get Hardy is with American Top Team and they have a lot of great things to say about him, but he’s still very raw and hasn’t shown much outside of powerful, wild strikes that have connected against other fighters you’ll probably never hear from again.
With that said, Hardy should win this fight. He’s got a big size advantage and his power is unquestionable. Hardy swings for the fences early and often, and it’s just going to take one of those to drop Crowder, who has been knocked out three times in his career.
Look for a Hardy by KO/TKO betting option, as the straight up victory price is insane.