Greg Hardy vs. Juan Adams - 7/20/19 UFC on ESPN 4 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Greg Hardy vs. Juan Adams
Saturday, July 20, 2019 at 9:30 PM (AT&T Center)
The Line: Hardy -107 / Adams -107 -- Over/Under:
Greg Hardy and Juan Adams fight Saturday during UFC on ESPN 4 at the AT&T Center.
Greg Hardy enters this fight with a 4-1 record and has won 100 percent of his fights by knockout. Hardy won four of his last five fights and is coming off an April win over Dmitry Smolyakov. Hardy is averaging 3.88 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 45 percent. Hardy is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Hardy bounced back nicely from his first career loss, putting away a guy, who looked like he didn’t want to fight, away in the first round. It’s hard to reply judge how good Hardy is when he’s fighting these lower tier fighters who lack experience or talent to matchup, but it is a positive sign to see him put these guys away with ease. Hardy is an impressive athlete and has clear power in his hands that gives him a punchers chance against anybody. Hardy looked more comfortable and confident in his last fight and appears to have improved his footwork. You’d still like to see Hardy be more effective in the clinch and become more comfortable on the ground, but that is sue to come with him being with American Top Team. Hardy is still raw and has yet to really be tested, but there’s no doubt the skills are there and he’s somebody who could eventually start challenging the big names in the heavyweight division. This will be Hardy’s first career fight outside of the United States.
Juan Adams enters this fight with a 5-1 record and has won 100 percent of his fights by knockout. Adams has split his last two fights and is coming off a May loss to Arjan Singh Bhullar. Adams is averaging 7.84 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 60 percent. Adams is averaging 2.74 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 100 percent. Adams is coming off his first career decision and his first loss, so it’s going to be interesting to see how he responds from adversity. Adams has good technique for somebody who had just one amateur fight and turned pro a couple of years ago. Adams can still improve his punching accuracy, but he puts combinations together nicely and showed against Shawn Teed that he can take a shot as well. Adams has been at his best in the clinch where he has impressive takedown ability and eventually puts fights away with relentless ground and pound. Once Adams gets in the full mount, he unloads powerful fists and elbows, and it’s where his best work up to this point has come. Adams has been impressive for somebody with very limited experience. This will be Adams’ second career fight in Canada.
The odds aren’t lying when it comes to this fight, as you can make a case for either guy and the lack of experience and competition up to this point makes it hard to figure out just how good either fighter is. Adams has the better technique at this moment and would have a considerable edge if this fight went to the canvas. However, Hardy is the better standup striker and has been tough to takedown in his last few fights. Hardy also has a good team behind him, so he’s somebody who gets better and looks more comfortable every time he steps into the octagon.
I’m giving the edge to Hardy.