Jared Cannonier vs. Anderson Silva
|Date & Time||Saturday May 11, 2019, 11:30 PM (EDT)|
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
The Line: Silva +138 / Cannonier -152 -- Over/Under:
Jared Cannonier and Anderson Silva fight Saturday during UFC 237 at the Jeunesse Arena.
Jared Cannonier enters this fight with a 11-4 record and has won 64 percent of his fights by knockout. Cannonier has split his last eight fights and is coming off a November win over David Branch. Cannonier is averaging 3.63 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 51 percent. Cannonier is averaging 0.21 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 33 percent. Cannonier snapped back-to-back losses with an impressive knockout where he landed a clean left hand and finished the bout with ground and pound. Cannonier earned performance of the night for the victory and now looks to win two straight fights for the first time since 2016. Cannonier is an athletic pressure fighter with good work rate and cardio, and he has clear power in his hands that have helped produce knockouts in four of his last six victories. Cannonier throws bombs standing up, but he’s also effective in the clinch and can more than hold his own on the canvas where he has good takedown ability and has three career submission victories. Cannonier is a balanced fighter who could really take his career to the next level with two straight wins on big cards. This will be Cannonier’s first career fight in Brazil.
Anderson Silva enters this fight with a 34-9 record and has won 67 percent of his fights by knockout. Silva has lost five of his last six fights and is coming off a February loss to Israel Adesanya. Silva is averaging 3.09 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 60 percent. Silva is averaging 0.18 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 75 percent. Silva clearly isn’t the fighter he once was now that he’s 44 years old, and he’s not getting the results he wants these days. However, Silva going three rounds with one of the top fighters in the world, an athletic freak, showed he’s still quite dangerous. Silva is a bit slower to react to things and it’s the difference in him landing a difference maker and just missing. Still, Silva can take a shot with no problem and his IQ allows him to be competitive and capitalize on any of his opponents mistakes. While in a losing effort, Silva can takeaway a lot of confidence from his fight against Adesanya, as he held his own and had some positive moments when most predicted a knockout. This will be Silva’s 11th career fight in Brazil, his birthplace.
It’s no secret Cannonier is the younger, more athletic and powerful fighter, and that’s good enough to make him a favorite. On paper, Cannonier should win this fight. The problem is this is a rare time Silva has the rust knocked off, as he’s jumping right back into the octagon, and he had his moments against Adesanya. Silva has always done a good job of controlling the pressure and not allowing his opponent to dictate the pace, so I’m not worried about the aggressiveness from Cannonier. Silva is the smarter, more technical and better defensive fighter, all things that kind of counter Cannonier’s aggressive fighting style. Silva is also 9-1 in his career when fight in Brazil, and there could be some added motivation with this possibly being his last fight in his home country. At 44 years old, you just never know how much is left in the tank.
Silva as an underdog here is probably one of the best value bets on this entire card.