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John Lineker vs. Rob Font - 6/22/19 UFC Fight Night 154 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
John Lineker vs. Rob Font
Date & Time Saturday June 22, 2019, 9:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Bon Secours Wellness Arena
Greenville, South Carolina
The Line
The Line: Lineker -164 / Font +136 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN+
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John Lineker and Rob Font fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 154 at the Bon Secours Wellness Arena.

John Lineker enters this fight with a 31-9 record and has won 45 percent of his fights by knockout. Lineker has won eight of his last 10 fights and is coming off an April loss to Cory Sandhagen. Lineker is averaging 5.22 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 40 percent. Lineker is averaging 0.52 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 60 percent. Lineker is coming off a tough split decision loss that could have gone either way but his opponent was slightly the more accurate striker. Lineker now hopes to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time in nearly 10 years. You know what you’re getting with Lineker in the octagon, as he comes from a boxing background and is at his best on his feet where he can unleash combinations and countless hooks. Lineker swings for the fences often, can be a bit wild at times, and six of his last 11 victories have ended in knockouts. Lineker has some takedown ability and has won three fights through the rear-naked choke, but he’s a violent striker at heart and at his best by far standing up. This will be Lineker’s first career fight in South Carolina.

Rob Font enters this fight with a 16-4 record and has won 44 percent of his fights by knockout. Font has won 10 of his last 13 fights and is coming off a December win over Sergio Pettis. Font is averaging 4.94 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 40 percent. Font is averaging 1.29 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 33 percent. Font is coming off a clear wi nowhere he overwhelmed his opponent with strikes and produced four takedowns. After splitting his last four fights overall, Font has to be looking at this as a chance to gain some momentum and move up the rankings a bit. Font is a quality stand up striker who has one punch knockout potential and has stung a good portion of his opponents even if he didn’t get the finish. Font uses his legs well and is effective in the clinch where he’ll throw in a hard knee, which is how he got the win over Matt Schnell. Font has four submission victories, so his ground game is probably a little underrated, but he’s another fighter who is at his best standing up and doesn’t have a ton of success with his takedown attempts. This will be Font’s first career fight in South Carolina.

Lineker won the first fight three years ago by unanimous decision, a bout where he doubled his opponents strikes and was far more accurate. The crazy thing is that Font is probably the better striker due to his variety and has a longer reach, which should give him an edge in what’s expected to be another stand up fight. With that said, Lineker is the more polished striker in terms of accuracy and usually lands the cleaner shots that make the difference. It’s often a ton of hooks from Lineker, but he can be overwhelming once he gets his timing down and has his opponent backpedaling. This is also a statement fight for Lineker, who begged the UFC for another bout, claiming not being active has forced him to get a job at a pet shop and making ends meet has been nearly impossible. A win here gives Lineker a much greater chance of getting his wish granted.

Fun fight where both guys should be comfortable, but Lineker has the slight edge.

Pick:
John Lineker -164

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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