Neil Magny vs. Vicente Luque
|Date & Time||Saturday May 18, 2019, 9:30 PM (EDT)|
Blue Cross Arena
Rochester, New York
The Line: Luque -389 / Magny +336 -- Over/Under:
Neil Magny and Vicente Luque fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 152 at the Blue Cross Arena.
Neil Magny enters this fight with a 21-7 record and has won 52 percent of his fights by decision. Magny has split his last six fights and is coming off a November loss to Santiago Ponzinibbio. Magny is averaging 3.86 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46 percent. Magny is averaging 2.62 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 47 percent. Magny is coming off a fourth round loss where he caught a right hand and was knocked out cold. Magny now hopes to avoid back-to-back losses for the second time in his career, and I’m always interested to see how guys respond to being slept. Magny is a busy fighter who doesn’t mind trading punches in the standup and his willingness to fight from close range and stare danger in the face is why he has such impressive striking numbers. Magny is also an athletic takedown artist who can usually get the fight to the canvas when he wants, and he has an impressive ground and pond approach. Magny is also a conditioned fighter who is averaging over 11 minutes per fight and has won 12 of his last 14 bouts that have made it out of the first round. Magny doesn’t get the credit he should for being an entertaining fighter willing to take chances. This will be Magny’s first career fight in New York, his birthplace.
Vicente Luque enters this fight with a 15-6-1 record and has won 53 percent of his fights by knockout. Luque has won eight of his last nine fights and is coming off a February win over Bryan Barberena. Luque is averaging 5.13 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 57 percent. Luque is averaging 1.19 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Luque is coming off an absolute brawl with Bam Bam where they traded strikes for three rounds and landed some ridiculous shots. It earned fight of the night honors at UFC on ESPN 1 and it should be considered one of the best fights of the year up to this point. Luque is now back in the octagon a few months later and hopes to build on a four-fight winning streak. His last bout is a good example of what to expect from Luque, as he’s a standup striker who doesn’t stop throwing and has true KO power. Luque has some of the cleanest boxing technique in the sport and attacks the head over and over, spending little time working the body or mixing in leg kicks. Luque is simply coming in to put guys to sleep, and five of his last six wins have been knockouts. Luque does have six submission wins and is a purple belt in Luta Livre, so he can hold his own on the ground, but he’s most comfortable where he can let his hands go and punch his opponent into the ground. This will be Luque’s second career fight in New York.
This is going to be a fun fight between two welterweights who don’t get the respect they deserve. Magny is an athletic gamer who can hold his own wherever the fight goes, while Luque is a power striking machine who is looking to take his opponents head off. Should be fun. As for who wins, it’s tough to bet against Luque, who is the better pure striker and is sure to land some haymakers I’m not sure Magny can eat. Magny is the longer fighter and would probably have the edge on the ground, but he’s going to have to dodge some powerful blows to get this fight where he wants it, and we just saw him taste the canvas with a clean right.
Luque is thick, strong and will be able to dominate a standup fight. He should win this fight, likely by TKO/KO.