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Rose Namajunas vs. Jessica Andrade - 5/11/19 UFC 237 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Rose Namajunas vs. Jessica Andrade
Date & Time Saturday May 11, 2019, 11:45 PM (EDT)
Location
Jeunesse Arena
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
The Line
The Line: Namajunas +103 / Andrade -117 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
PPV
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Dennis Schneidler-USA TODAY Sports

Rose Namajunas and Jessica Andrade fight Saturday during UFC 237 at the Jeunesse Arena.

Rose Namajunas enters this fight with a 9-3 record and has won 63 percent of her fights by submission. Namajunas has won six of her last seven fights and is coming off a April (2018) win over Joanna Jedrzejczyk. Namajunas is averaging 3.72 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42 percent. Namajunas is averaging 2.34 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 59 percent. Namajunas beat Jedrzejczyk twice to not only win the title but get her first UFC Women's Strawweight Championship defense out of the way. With now three straight wins since the controversial loss to Karolina Kowalkiewicz, Namajunas should be a confident fighter right now. Namajunas is an aggressive pressure fighter who likes to stay busy by working the jab and mixing in some kicks. Namajunas has just one knockout victory under her belt, but she’s proven to be somebody who can hold her own standing up and has a very technical approach to her attack where she picks her spots well. Namajunas is also proven on the canvas and has creative submission holds where she can flip a fight upside down at any moment. Namajunas has used the rear-naked choke four times to finish fights and seems to be a bit more comfortable on the ground. This will be Namajunas’ first career fight outside of the United States.

Jessica Andrade enters this fight with a 19-6 record and has won 37 percent of her fights by submission. Andrade has won six of her last seven fights and is coming off a September win over Karolina Kowalkiewicz. Andrade is averaging 6.58 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 52 percent. Andrade is averaging 3.20 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 59 percent. Andrade is coming off a clean first round knockout where she landed a right hand and it was all over. It’s the type of finish you don’t see often on the women’s side and certainly something you don’t see in the straight division. It showed just the type of power Andrade brings the octagon and it’s even scarier with her work rate. Andrade is a pressure fighter who usually overwhelms her opponent with constant wild punches and it takes just one to land cleanly. Andrade is violent standing up and has a great ground and pound, and while she’s known for her striking, she also has 33 takedowns on the UFC level and seven career submissions. Andrade has become the total package and a rising star at just 27 years old. This will be Andrade’s 13th career fight in Brazil, her birthplace.

This is your classic fight between a technical surgeon who fights smart and picks her spots against a wild, powerful bully who fights with no care in the world. Namajunas is the bigger fighter from a height and reach standpoint, but Andrade is the stronger fighter and has impressive cardio for somebody who is as aggressive as she is. Throw in the fight being in Brazil and Thug Rose never fighting outside of the US, and you can see why Andrade is the slight favorite. However, Namajunas is the more skillful fighter who would have the edge on the canvas and can use her length and leg kicks to make Andrade think twice about rushing in with her avalanche of punches. If this fight goes to the ground, Namajunas probably wins in a stoppage and if it goes to a decision, Namajunas probably wins on points. It's all about fighting smart, playing the long game, dragging the Brazilian into deep waters and avoiding that one big shot.

The power is scary, but we’re getting the better overall fighter at plus money.

Pick:
Rose Namajunas +103

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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