Skip to main content

Tim Means vs. Niko Price - 3/9/19 UFC on ESPN+ 4 Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Tim Means vs. Niko Price
Date & Time Saturday March 9, 2019, 9:30 PM (EST)
Location
Intrust Bank Arena
Wichita, Kansas
The Line
The Line: Means -196 / Price +174 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN+
Stream UFC fights on ESPN+. Start your 7-day FREE trial today!
Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports

Tim Means and Niko Price fight Saturday during UFC on ESPN+ 4 at the Intrust Bank Arena.

Tim Means enters this fight with a 28-10 record and has won 68 percent of his fights by knockout. Means has split his last six fights and is coming off a November win over Ricky Rainey. Means is averaging 4.78 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 45 percent. Means is averaging 0.82 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Means has been hit or miss lately, but he’s coming off an impressive first round knockout and had two tight split decisions against Belal Muhammad and Sergio Moraes, so he’s in better form than his results suggest. Means is a fighter who has been through a ton in his personal life, so him even being on this stage is considered a success story. As for his fighting style, Means comes from a boxing background and has some knockout potential in those hands, and he mixes in leg kicks well and his athleticism allows him to hold his own on the canvas. Means is most effective standing up where he lands 77 percent of his strikes standing up, but he’s good at defending himself and getting in strikes if taken down. This will be Means’ first career fight in Kansas.

Niko Price enters this fight with a 12-2 record and has won 67 percent of his fights by knockout. Price has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a September loss to Abdul Razak Alhassan. Price is averaging 2.50 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 30 percent. Price is averaging 1.44 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 29 percent. Price is truly 5-2 under the UFC banner if you include his victory over Alex Morono that was overturned after he tested positive for marijuana. Price has a background in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, and he’s effective with his strikes standing up, in the clinch and on the ground. Price isn’t the most effective striker in terms of accuracy, but he’s got some pop when he does land and has this wild, aggressive style that can really overwhelm his opponent. Price isn’t the most technically sound or most disciplined fighter in the world, but his career has shown he only needs to land that one strike to put himself in a winning position. This will be Price’s first career fight in Kansas.

This is a fight where guys have similar styles, but Means is the more accurate striker and the more polished fighter overall. Means should be able to pick apart Price defensively and use his legs to keep him off balance. I’m just not 100 percent sold on Price being a real difference maker on the UFC level, and he has a lot of questionable names on his resume if we’re being completely honest. Price basically has to prove himself in this fight before I can take him more seriously.

Means should be able to dictate pace from the start and get a comfortable victory.

Pick:
Tim Means -196

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

Top 10 Sport Sites