We make our first of two scheduled trips to Kansas City for the Digital Ally 400, one of the newer races on the schedule that debuted in 2011 and has been won four of the seven times by a Toyota. It’s been back-to-back rough weeks for us, but we’ve proven over the years that wins aren’t too far behind. We’re in victory lane far more than not, so let’s head into all-star week with a victory.
Here are five drivers to consider throwing on this week’s card. (Will update with odds once they’re released.)
Kevin Harvick, +750 - Kevin Harvick has finished fourth or better in five of his last 10 races and enters this week as the defending champion. In fact, Harvick has finished no worse than third in each of his last five appearances at this particular race and seven of his last 11 trips overall at the Kansas Speedway. Harvick is still looking for his first win of the year, and based on his current form and dominating history in Kansas, this is a good week to think the drought ends.
Martin Truex Jr., +650 - Martin Truex Jr. has finished outside of the top-10 in four of his last five races, but this week should get him out of his funk. Truex won this race in 2017 and has won two of his last four trips to the Kansas Speedway overall. Truex has also finished no worse than fifth in his last four appearances at this track, averaging a finish of 2.25 during that span. Recent history suggests that Truex can win his second race within the last month.
Kyle Busch, +400 - Kyle Busch is coming off his worst showing of the year, finally finishing outside of the top-10, but he hasn’t had two poor showings back-to-back weeks since this time last year. Busch won this race in 2016 and has finished fifth or better in six of his last eight trips to the Kansas Speedway. Busch also has four wins at the Kansas Speedway in the NASCAR Xfinity Series and two wins in the NASCAR Gander Outdoors Truck Series. Don’t think Busch has yet a dry point in the season just yet.
Kurt Busch, +2750 - I spent weeks saying a win for Kurt Busch wasn’t too far behind, and of course he wins the week we don’t put him on the card. It happens like that sometimes. Anyway, Busch is still running a hot enough car to think he can win back-to-back weeks. Busch hasn’t won this race and has actually never won at the Kansas Speedway, but he’s finished eighth or better in five of his last eight appearances and that includes a runner-up finish in the 2017 Hollywood Casino 400. Usually Busch is a one win top of guy, but his car is running well enough for him to push the leaderboard yet again.
Joey Logano, +750 - Joey Logano watched his string of top-five finishes end last week at three, but there’s enough here to expect a bounce back performance. Logano has finished fifth or better in three of his last five appearances at this race and eighth or better in eight of his last 11 trips at the Kansas Speedway. Logano is a two-time winner at the other Kansas race and has a couple of wins at this track in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. I like Logano’s chances of winning at least two races for the fifth time in the last six years.