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Gander RV 400: NASCAR Preview, Odds, Pick, Predictions, Dark Horses - 5/5/19

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

We make our first of two scheduled trips to Dover for the Gander RV 400, an event that debuted in 1969 and has been one of the more entertaining races the past few years. It’s always fun when a race is held at Dover International Speedway due to massive amount of people who show up. Last week was probably our worst showing of the year with all five of our drivers stinking up the joint. The track record suggests we’ll get back on track with a winner this week.

Here are five drivers to consider throwing on this week’s card. (Will update with odds once they’re released.)

Kevin Harvick, +440 - Kevin Harvick didn’t have a good showing last week, but it’s just the second time he’s finished outside of the top-10 this year since Atlanta. Harvick is the defending champ at this race and has finished runner-up or better in three of his last seven trips. Harvick has finished ninth or better in five of his last eight appearances overall at the Dover International Speedway, and he’s won two of his last seven trips. Harvick has also finished in the top-five in five of his last six races following a finish outside of the top-20. Expect a rebound performance this week.

Kyle Busch, +330 - Kyle Busch has finished in the top-10 in each of his last 12 races and has gone no longer than two events without a win since Phoenix. That means Busch is due. Busch is a two-time winner at this particular race and has finished runner-up or better in three of his four appearances at the other  Dover International Speedway event. Busch also has five career wins in Dover throughout the NASCAR Xfinity Series and four wins in the NASCAR Gander Outdoors Truck Series. Busch has been the most consistent driver all year long and returns to a track he clearly enjoys. He’s a must play this week.

Daniel Suarez, +5500 - If you’re looking for somebody who isn’t mentioned much, Daniel Suarez may be worth a look this week. Suarez has yet to win a race on this level, as he’s only in his third year, but he’s averaging a finish of 6.75 in four appearances at the Dover International Speedway, which includes a third place finish at this race last year. Suarez also won the NASCAR Xfinity Series Bar Harbor 200 in 2016 and was runner-up in his only two appearances in Dover in the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series. You’re likely going to get great value on a driver who has been a bit of an afterthought in the racing betting market.

Jimmie Johnson, +2200 - Another race, another week making a case for Jimmie Johnson who hasn’t been relevant for two years now. I don’t know why I keep doing this to myself. Maybe because I’m so invested in him by putting him on the card so much, I don’t want to miss out when he eventually wins a race again. Either way, Johnson has won this race six times, which is more than anybody in history, and that includes wins in four of his last seven appearances. Johnson has finished ninth or better in eight of his last 11 appearances at the Dover International Speedway overall. With 11 career wins at this track in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series, Johnson has value this week.

Chase Elliot, +1300 - Chase Elliot is coming off a win last week in Talladega and won the last race at the Dover International Speedway. While he finished 12th at this event last year, Elliot is averaging a finish of 4.3 in six appearances at this track in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. That doesn’t include four top-10 finishes in all of his appearances at this track in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. The sample size is smaller than others, but Elliot has a shot to be the second driver to put together back-to-back victories this year.

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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