Gander RV 400: NASCAR Preview, Odds, Pick, Predictions, Dark Horses - 7/28/19
Gander RV 400
Sunday, July 28, 2019 at 2:00 PM (Pocono Raceway)
We make our second and final trip to Pennsylvania for the Gander RV 400, an event that debuted in 1974 and is under a different name for the sixth straight year. Last week we hit with Kevin Harvick at +650 odds and had insurance with another selection in Denny Hamlin finishing runner-up. That’s happened a lot this year when we’ve seen victory lane. Let’s get a winning streak going.
Here are five drivers to consider throwing on this week’s card. (Will update with odds once they’re released.)
Kyle Busch, +275 - Kyle Busch has gone six straight races without a victory, which is surprising with the way he started the season. There’s a good chance Busch ends the drought this week with him winning the last two races at the Pocono Raceway and three of the last four overall. Busch has finished no worse than third in his last four appearances at this track and has three other wins here when you throw in his experience in the NASCAR Gander Outdoors Truck Series and NASCAR Xfinity Series. Busch should be the favorite once again.
Denny Hamlin, +1100 - Denny Hamlin nearly cashed for us last week with +1250, so I guess you can say he’s bought himself another week on our card. Hamlin has top-10 finishes in seven of his last 11 appearances at the Pocono Raceway. Hamlin has also won this race twice and has four wins at this track overall, most recently winning the 2010 Gillette Fusion ProGlide 500. You combine Hamlin’s success here and the fact he has top-five finishes in three of the last five weeks, and you have to like his chances.
Kurt Busch, +2750 - Kurt Busch has finished outside of the top-10 in five of his last eight races, so it’s hard to have much confidence in him despite his victory in Kentucky. With that said, Busch is a four-time winner at the Pocono Raceway and has won this particular race twice. Busch’s most recent win came in the 2016 Axalta "We Paint Winners" 400 and he has five career runner-up finishes on this track as well. I wouldn’t be shocked if Busch wins two races in the same year for the first time since 2015.
Kevin Harvick, +550 - Kevin Harvick finally got us some of the money back we’ve lost on him this season and there’s reasons to go back to the well. While not yet winning a race at this track on this level, Harvick is averaging a finish of 6.3 in his last six appearances at the Pocono Raceway, and that doesn’t include runner-up finishes at the 2015 Axalta "We Paint Winners" 400 and 2014 Gobowling.com 400. Harvick also won the 2011 Gander RV 150, which was just one of his two appearances at this track in the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series.
Brad Keselowski, +550 - Brad Keselowski is due for a breakout showing after finishing 10th or worse in four of his last five races. Well, Keselowski has finished eighth or better in seven of his last eight appearances at the Pocono Raceway, which includes a runner-up finish in the first race here. If you want to go further back, Keselowski has finished sixth or better in 11 of his last 16 trips at this track. Keselowski also won the 2011 Good Sam RV Insurance 500 and 2017 Pocono Green 250, so it’s not all just close finishes with no results. Keselowski could very well win four races for the third time in the last six years.