We make our second and final trip to Dover for the Grander Outdoors 400, a race that debuted in 1971 and is the first race of the Round of 12 NASCAR playoffs. This has been one of the faster races recently, as the last two tries have averaged 130 MPH and finished in just over three hours. We’ve also seen a different winner each of the last seven years, so there’s some chances to make some money this week.
Here are five drivers to consider throwing on this week’s card.
Kevin Harvick - Kevin Harvick has gone six races without a victory, which is quite long given his season. The good news is Harvick has finished outside of the top-10 just once in his last 11 races. Harvick won the earlier race in Dover this year and won this event back in 2015. Harvick has also produced top-10 finishes in 10 of his last 17 appearances at the Dover International Speedway. So, while Harvick is only bringing in +300 odds, his consistency at this event makes him worth a wager.
Jimmie Johnson - Yes, we’re back to putting money on Jimmie Johnson after saying several times we were finished. Johnson hasn’t won a race in ages and it’s to the point betting on him is burning money. The good news is Johnson has put together top-10 finishes and has dominated Dover over the years. Johnson has not only won this race five times, which is the most ever, but he’s won five of the last 13 races at Dover International Speedway overall. Johnson has also finished ninth or better in 13 of his last 16 races at this track. I hate to say it, but Johnson and +1500 odds may be the best bet on the board this week.
Kyle Larson - Kyle Larson continues to knock on the door of victory lane, finishing seventh or better in five of his last eight races. While Larson hasn’t won in Dover, he has finished in the top-10 in each of his last three appearances and has an average finish of 5.6 during that span. In fact, Larson has finished outside of the top-10 just twice in his first nine appearances in Dover in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. Larson and +700 odds makes sense.
Daniel Suarez - Daniel Suarez has never won a race and has finished outside of the top-10 in six of his last seven races. There’s a reason the 26-year-old is an afterthought betting wise with odds of +8000. However, if you’re not afraid of long shot bets and are willing to bet value, this is a wise move. Suarez has finished no worse than eighth in his three appearances at the Dover International Speedway, posting an average finish of 5.6. Suarez finished third in the first Dover race this year and has some success at this track both in the Xfinity and Camping World Truck Series. Suarez makes for a good shot in the dark pick this week.
Kyle Busch - Kyle Busch has finished eighth or better in 14 of his last 17 races and has finished outside of the top-10 just five times in his last 28 races. Busch loves Dover, as he has countless victories here in both the Xfinity and Camping World Truck Series, and he’s the defending champion at this event. In fact, Busch has finished no worse than runner-up in his last three appearances at this event and has finished in the top-10 in each of his last eight tries. There’s a reason Busch brings in +300 odds this week, and while we try to shoot for larger payouts, nobody ever went broke making three times their money.