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Boston Celtics vs. Denver Nuggets - 3/18/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Denver Nuggets at Boston Celtics
Date & Time Monday March 18, 2019, 7:30 PM (EDT)
Location
TD Garden
Boston, Massachusetts
The Line
The Line: Boston Celtics -3.5 -- Over/Under: 222.5
TV Channel
NBSB, ALT
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The Denver Nuggets and Boston Celtics meet Monday in NBA action at the TD Garden.

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The Denver Nuggets look for a statement win after splitting their last eight games. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 112 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 107 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 20.3 points and 10.7 rebounds while Jamal Murray is averaging 18.3 points and 4.9 assists. Gary Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Paul Millsap is grabbing 7.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 75.5 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game. The Denver Nuggets have lost five of their last seven road games.

The Boston Celtics look to stay hot after winning five of their last six games. The Boston Celtics are averaging 112.8 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 107.5 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Kyrie Irving is averaging 23.6 points and 7.1 assists while Jayson Tatum is averaging 16.1 points and 6.2 rebounds. Marcus Morris is the third double-digit scorer and Al Horford is grabbing 6.7 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 80.7 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game. The Boston Celtics have won four of their last six home games.

The Nuggets are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. The Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Nuggets are 4-11-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Boston and 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 overall. The under is 10-1 in Nuggets last 11 overall.

The Denver Nuggets aren't the same team on the road as they are at home, as they're just 13-19 ATS and are being outscored by an average of 1.7 points. The Boston Celtics haven't been covering games recently, but the overall play has picked up these past couple of weeks, winning five of their last six games and shooting 49.7 percent from the field during that span. You take in the improved play from the Celtics and the drop off in level from the Nuggets on the road, and the reasonable chalk with Boston at home feels like the play here. 

Pick:
Boston Celtics -3.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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