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Boston Celtics vs. Indiana Pacers - 3/29/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Indiana Pacers at Boston Celtics
Date & Time Friday March 29, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)
Location
TD Garden
Boston, MA
The Line
The Line: Boston -6.5 -- Over/Under 214.5
TV Channel
NBAtv, NBSB, FSIN
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The Indiana Pacers pay a visit to the Boston Celtics at the TD Garden on Friday night.

The Indiana Pacers have been in a funk lately as they’ve lost five of their last six games and they will be looking to bounce back after falling short against the Thunder in a 107-99 road loss on Wednesday. Bojan Bogdanovic led the team with 28 points on 11 of 20 shooting, Myles Turner added 12 points with 14 rebounds and four blocks while Domantas Sabonis provided the spark off the bench with 18 points and 10 rebounds. As a team, the Pacers shot 43 percent from the field and 13 of 31 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in control when they took a nine-point lead going into halftime, but they were always reeling after they managed just 15 points in the third quarter. With the loss, Indiana fell to 45-30 overall and 17-21 on the road.

Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics were in a real slump of their own as they had lost four in a row before steadying the ship with a much-needed 116-106 road win at Cleveland on Tuesday. Marcus Smart and Jayson Tatum led the scoring with 21 points each, Gordon Hayward added 15 points with four assists off the bench while Al Horford chipped in with 19 points, eight rebounds and five assists. As a team, the Celtics shot 50 percent from the field and 10 of 25 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 32 points in the first quarter to take the early lead that slowly built as the game wore on. It wasn’t the most convincing performance as the Celtics could never put the Cavaliers away, but they were shorthanded as they were without the injured Kyrie Irving. With the win, Boston improved to 44-31 overall and 18-19 on the road.

Looking at the betting trends, the Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record, 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. The Celtics are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record, 0-5 ATS in their last five home games and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Head to head, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Boston, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the Pacers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall.

The season series is tied at 1-1 with the Celtics winning the last meeting by 135-108 back on Jan 9, but both teams have been in a funk lately, especially the Pacers who desperately need Victor Oladipo back on the court. This one is tough to pick, but with home court advantage, I’m leaning towards the Celtics to build some momentum with a  second straight win against a struggling Pacers team who are just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games.

Pick:
Boston -6.5
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