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Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 5/3/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics
Date & Time Friday May 3, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)
Location
TD Garden
Boston, MA
The Line
The Line: Boston -2 -- Over/Under 220
TV Channel
ESPN
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Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics duke it out in a pivotal Game 3 at the TD Garden on Friday night.

The Milwaukee Bucks were in a bit of trouble after surrendering home-court advantage in Game 1, but they came out firing in Game 2 to level the series with a 123-102 win. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 29 points, 10 rebounds and four assists, Khris Middleton had the hot hand as he drained seven 3-pointers to finish with 28 points while Eric Bledsoe chipped in with 21 points and five assists in just 26 minutes of action. As a team, the Bucks shot 43 percent from the field and 20 of 47 from the 3-point line as they took a 59-55 halftime lead, before putting the game to bed in the third quarter where they outscored the Celtics by 39-18. Giannis didn’t have his most efficient or dominant game, but he was aggressive from the start and did a nice job of finishing the night with a couple of late 3-pointers to put the stamp on the win.

Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics will have mixed emotions about their two-game road trip as they will be disappointed with the loss in Game 2, but still happy with the split and home-court advantage. Marcus Morris led the team with 17 points on six of eight shooting, Jaylen Brown added 16 points while Al Horford had 15 points with eight rebounds. Kyrie Irving shot just four of 18 to finish with nine points as the Celtics shot 39 percent from the field and 10 of 28 from the 3-point line as a team. No bench player finished in double figures in scoring while Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving and Terry Rozier combined to shoot eight of 38 from the field, as the Celtics just couldn’t keep up after the Bucks went on a furious 24-2 run in the third quarter.

Looking at the betting trends, the Bucks are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 road games, 37-17-3 A TS in their last 57 against the Eastern Conference and 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Celtics are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record, 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 home games and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Head to head, the over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings in Boston, the Bucks are 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings overall and the Bucks are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings in Boston.

The Bucks have the momentum in the series after squaring the series with a dominant win in Game 2, but the Celtics did manage to steal home-court advantage, which is what they were aiming for. The Bucks drained a total of 20 3-pointers in their Game 2 victory, but I just don’t see them shooting as well on the road, so this one could go either way. The Celtics will definitely struggle again if Irving has another horrid shooting night, but in the comfort of TD Garden, you’d expect the role players to step up. It’s hard to split these two teams at the moment, but the Bucks are just 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings in Boston and I think that trend continues as the Celtics get the narrow win to solidify their advantage.

 

Pick:
Boston -2
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