Skip to main content

Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 5/6/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics
Date & Time Monday May 6, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)
Location
TD Garden
Boston, MA
The Line
The Line: Boston -1.5 -- Over/Under 221
TV Channel
TNT
Stream live sports and ESPN originals on ESPN+ for only $4.99 a month. Start your 7-day free trial today!
Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Bucks will be aiming to take a commanding 3-1 series lead against the Boston Celtics at the TD Garden on Monday night.

The Milwaukee Bucks will be aiming for a third straight win in this series after taking down the Celtics in a crucial 123-116 road win in Game 3. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with a massive game of 32 points with 13 rebounds, eight assists and three blocks, George Hill provided the spark off the bench with 21 points on nine of 12 shooting while Khris Middleton chipped in with 20 points. Eric Bledsoe's shooting struggles continued as he made just four of 15 shot attempts to finish with nine points, but it didn't matter as the Bucks shot a healthy 50 percent from the field and 15 of 37 from the 3-point line as a team. Overall, the Bucks will be delighted that they were able to reclaim home-court advantage and they will be looking to continue to dominate the paint and put all the Celtics in foul trouble once again.

Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics will be feeling a little nervous after dropping back to back games against the Bucks. Kyrie Irving led the team with 29 points and six assists, Jayson Tatum added 20 points with 11 rebounds, Jaylen Brown scored 18 points while Al Horford chipped in with 17 points, eight rebounds and five assists. As a team, the Celtics shot just 43 percent from the field and 16 of 40 from the 3-point line, but once again their problems remain on the defensive end as they led the Bucks for most of the game until the third quarter where they allowed the Bucks to pour on 40 points because they just couldn't defend without fouling.

Looking at the betting trends, the Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games against a team above .600, 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games and 37-18-2 ATS in their last 57 games overall. The Celtics are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games playing on two days rest, 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Conference Semifinals games. 

Head to head, the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, the Bucks are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings overall and the Bucks are 2-6 ATS in the last eight meetings in Boston.

The Celtics will be kicking themselves after surrendering home court advantage so quickly, but they won't have time to rue their missed chances with a crucial Game 4 just around the corner. Led by Giannis, the Bucks were able to consistently get open looks and plenty of mismatches with their size and Game 3 would've been a blowout if the Bucks didn't shoot 24 of 36 from the free-throw line. I'm worried about the Celtics who have now allowed 123 points for two straight games and I don't think they can turn it around in time. You could make an argument for either side here, but I'm leaning towards the Bucks to pull off the minor upset as the Celtics who haven't looked good defensively for two straight games now. 

Pick:
Milwaukee +1.5
Top 10 Sport Sites