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Brooklyn Nets vs. Philadelphia 76ers - 4/20/19 NBA - Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Philadelphia 76ers at Brooklyn Nets
Date & Time Saturday April 20, 2019, 3:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Barclays Center
Brooklyn, NY
The Line
The Line: Brooklyn +1.5 -- Over/Under 233
TV Channel
TNT
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Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

The Brooklyn Nets will be hoping to square up the series against the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 4 at the Barclays Center on Saturday afternoon.

The Philadelphia 76ers will be gunning for a commanding 3-1 series lead after taking care of business in a 131-115 road win in Game 3. Ben Simmons led the team with an efficient 31 points on 11 of 13 shooting to go with nine assists, two steals and three blocks, Tobias Harris added 29 points with 16 rebounds and three assists while JJ Redick chipped in with 26 points. As a team, the 76ers shot 48 percent from the field and 11 of 27 from the 3-point line, but the key to the win was actually their defense, particularly in the first and fourth quarters where they outscored the Nets by a combined 66-49. Joel Embiid sat out the game with left knee soreness, but the 76ers did a great job of picking up the slack as three players scored above 25 points.

Meanwhile, you would expect the Brooklyn Nets to come out firing with the series tied at 1-1, but they came out flat and found themselves playing from behind after allowing the 76ers to get loose early. Caris LeVert led the way with 26 points on 10 of 17 shooting off the bench, D’Angelo Russell added 26 points on 12 of 26 shooting while Spencer Dinwiddie and Jarett Allen each scored 15 points. As a team, the Nets shot just 41 percent from the field and eight of 39 from the 3-point line, which was good enough to stay in the game, but the sluggish start really cost them as the home crowd never got engaged. Perhaps it was the distraction of not playing against the injured Embiid, but the Nets were outhustled in the first quarter and it cost them.

Looking at the betting trends, the 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last six Conference Quarterfinals games, 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a win and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Nets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team above .600, 1-4 ATS in their last five Conference Quarterfinals games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss of more than 10 points.

Head to head, the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings overall and the over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings at Brooklyn.

The Nets would’ve been delighted with getting the split on the road, but they laid an egg in Game 3 against the 76ers who were without their big man in Embiid who is currently listed as doubtful for Saturday. I’m expecting a much closer contest as the Nets should come out firing here, but I just feel it won't be enough against the depth of the 76ers. Give me the 76ers to move one step closer to the second round with a narrow win here.

 

Pick:
Philadelphia -1.5
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