Boston Celtics (65-33) at Cleveland Cavaliers (60-37)
|Date & Time||Friday May 25, 2018, 8:30 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -7 -- Over/Under: 201.5
The Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers meet Friday in game six of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the Quicken Loans Arena.
The Boston Celtics will advance to their first NBA Finals since the 2009-10 season with a victory here. The Boston Celtics are averaging 102.8 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 101 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 18.4 points and 4.3 rebounds while Jaylen Brown is averaging 17.8 points and 4.9 rebounds. Terry Rozier is the third double-digit scorer and Al Horford is grabbing 8.5 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game. The Boston Celtics have lost six of their last seven road games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers need a victory here in order to save their season and force a game seven on Sunday. The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 101.6 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 101.3 points on 46.1 percent shooting. LeBron James is averaging 33.2 points and 8.8 assists while Kevin Love is averaging 14.8 points and 10.4 rebounds. Kyle Korver is the third double-digit scorer and George Hill is dishing 2.2 assists. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.5 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.9 rebounds per game. The Cleveland Cavaliers have won seven straight home games.
The Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games and 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The Cavaliers are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 Friday games and 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 home games. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings, the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
It's well documented that the Boston Celtics aren't the same team on the road, and the Cavs have had a ton of success at home in this series where the roll players show up. But as I've said all playoffs, I have a very hard time laying chalk with this Cavs team that can get blown out at any moment. The Cavaliers are also burning money, as they're just 5-8 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite and have been even worse over the course of the season. I'm not laying points just because the Cavs managed to cover game three and four at home. Long term, the Cavs have put you in the red as a favorite. We'll likely see a game seven with the way this series has played out up to this point, but in terms of value and who has looked like the better team, points with the Celtics is hard to pass up.