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Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Golden State Warriors - 6/16/15 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Golden State Warriors (81-20) at Cleveland Cavaliers (67-33)
Date & Time Tuesday June 16, 2015, 9:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 -- Over/Under: 195
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The Cleveland Cavaliers are playing for their season in Game 6 on Tuesday against the Golden State Warriors.

The Cavaliers missed on a big opportunity to steal Game 5 on the road, but after trailing by just one point at halftime, they just couldn't keep the pressure on for the entire 48 minutes, eventually losing by 104-91. LeBron James was once again the most impactful player on the floor, leading the Cavs with a massive triple-double of 40 points, 14 rebounds and 11 assists while Tristan Thompson added 19 points and 10 rebounds. JR Smith finally made his mark in the NBA Finals with 14 points in the first half, but he was held scoreless in the second half where the Cavs were outscored by 53-41. Coming off a tough loss in Game 4, the Cavs opted to play with smaller lineups with Thompson as the lone center, but a few too many defensive lapses late in the game really cost the Cavs a chance to move within one win of their first Championship.

As for the Warriors, Stephen Curry quietly made his mark in the game early on with some smart passes, but when the game got a little tight late, he answered the call with a flurry of threes to finish with a team-high 37 points on 13 of 23 shooting. Draymond Green had a nice game of 16 points and six assists, while Leandro Barbosa provided great service off the bench with 13 points in just 17 minutes, but once again a key player late in the game for the Warriors was Andre Iguodala who finished with 14 points, eight rebounds and seven assists in his second start this season. Midway through the third quarter, it looked like Game 5 could have gone either way, but the depth of the Warriors' roster was really the difference in the end and will once again be key to securing the franchise's first NBA Championship in 40 years.

In ATS trends, the Warriors are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a win of more than 10 points and 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings against the Cavs, but the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings overall.

I'm really tempted to take the Warriors after the way they pulled away from the Cavs late in Game 5, but I just can't go past LeBron and the Cavs at home in an absolute must-win game.

Cleveland +4.5
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