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Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets - 2/22/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks
Date & Time Friday February 22, 2019, 8:30 PM (EST)
Location
American Airlines Center
Dallas, TX
The Line
The Line: Dallas +3.5 -- Over/Under 219
TV Channel
ALT
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NBA | Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks
Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Nuggets and the Dallas Mavericks duke it out at the American Airlines Center on Friday night.

The Denver Nuggets were on a nice run heading into the All-Star break as they’ve won eight of their last 11 games and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after sneaking past the Kings in a 120-118 home win on Feb 13. Paul Millsap led the team with 25 points and 13 rebounds, Malik Beasley added 21 points while Nikola Jokic racked up a triple-double of 20 points with 18 rebounds and 11 assists. As a team, the Nuggets shot 45 percent from the field and eight of 31 from the 3-point line, but they really had to work in the second half after allowing the Kings to explode for 41 points in the first quarter. Isaiah Thomas was the story of the night as he drained two 3-pointers in his debut for his new team, but the highlight of the night came from Jokic who tipped in the game-winner. with the win, Denver improved to 39-18 overall and 25-4 at home.

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in decent shape as they’ve won six of their past 11 games, but they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after falling short against the Heat in a 112-101 home loss on Feb 13. Tim Hardaway Jr. led the team in scoring with 20 points on seven of 15 shooting, Luka Doncic added 18 points with 12 rebounds and nine assists while Dirk Nowitzki chipped in with 12 points off the bench. As a team, the Mavericks shot just 38 percent from the field and 15 of 52 from the 3-point line as they took the early lead against the Heat, but they were always fighting a losing battle after getting outscored by 32-16 in the penultimate third quarter thanks to the Heat’s Dwyane Wade. With the loss, Dallas fell to 26-31 overall and 20-9 at home.

Looking at the betting trends, the Nuggets are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games, 5-12 ATS in their last 17 against the Western Conference and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. The Mavericks are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a double-digit loss at home, 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 home games and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Head to head, the home team is 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings, the Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings overall and 1-6-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Dallas.

This is the stage of the season where we see the contenders separate themselves from the rest of the pack so I’m looking at the Nuggets to get the win here, especially because they’ve already beaten the Mavericks by 126-118 back on Dec 18. The Mavericks are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall while the Nuggets are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games, but with the line so low, I’m sticking with the Nuggets to stay hot with another win here.

Pick:
Denver -3.5

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